Forecast uncertainty from afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers in the Sichuan Basin's subtropical monsoon regime is the main driver keeping the highest probabilities clustered around 38°C (22%) and 39°C (19%), with 37°C close behind. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS currently indicates daytime maxima near 36–38°C for July 13, tempered by high humidity (70–80%) and typical monsoon moisture that caps extreme heating despite peak summer insolation. Recent early-July observations show frequent 34–36°C readings under similar conditions, while historical July climatology centers on 30–32°C averages with occasional 35°C+ spikes. Traders are weighting the narrow window for clear-sky intensification versus thunderstorm timing, with the next model runs and CMA updates likely to sharpen resolution ahead of the July 13 observation period.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 13일 청두에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 13일 청두에서 가장 높은 기온?
39°C 26%
38°C 25%
37°C 19%
36°C 15%
신규
신규
2026.07.13
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
9%
36°C
13%
37°C
18%
38°C
25%
39°C
21%
40°C or higher
10%
39°C 26%
38°C 25%
37°C 19%
36°C 15%
신규
신규
2026.07.13
30°C or below
$5 거래량
<1%
31°C
$10 거래량
<1%
32°C
$90 거래량
<1%
33°C
$6 거래량
2%
34°C
$6 거래량
4%
35°C
$0 거래량
9%
36°C
$12 거래량
13%
37°C
$5 거래량
18%
38°C
$31 거래량
25%
39°C
$29 거래량
21%
40°C or higher
$50 거래량
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers in the Sichuan Basin's subtropical monsoon regime is the main driver keeping the highest probabilities clustered around 38°C (22%) and 39°C (19%), with 37°C close behind. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS currently indicates daytime maxima near 36–38°C for July 13, tempered by high humidity (70–80%) and typical monsoon moisture that caps extreme heating despite peak summer insolation. Recent early-July observations show frequent 34–36°C readings under similar conditions, while historical July climatology centers on 30–32°C averages with occasional 35°C+ spikes. Traders are weighting the narrow window for clear-sky intensification versus thunderstorm timing, with the next model runs and CMA updates likely to sharpen resolution ahead of the July 13 observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$232종료일
2026.07.13마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers in the Sichuan Basin's subtropical monsoon regime is the main driver keeping the highest probabilities clustered around 38°C (22%) and 39°C (19%), with 37°C close behind. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS currently indicates daytime maxima near 36–38°C for July 13, tempered by high humidity (70–80%) and typical monsoon moisture that caps extreme heating despite peak summer insolation. Recent early-July observations show frequent 34–36°C readings under similar conditions, while historical July climatology centers on 30–32°C averages with occasional 35°C+ spikes. Traders are weighting the narrow window for clear-sky intensification versus thunderstorm timing, with the next model runs and CMA updates likely to sharpen resolution ahead of the July 13 observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$232종료일
2026.07.13마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETForecast uncertainty from afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers in the Sichuan Basin's subtropical monsoon regime is the main driver keeping the highest probabilities clustered around 38°C (22%) and 39°C (19%), with 37°C close behind. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS currently indicates daytime maxima near 36–38°C for July 13, tempered by high humidity (70–80%) and typical monsoon moisture that caps extreme heating despite peak summer insolation. Recent early-July observations show frequent 34–36°C readings under similar conditions, while historical July climatology centers on 30–32°C averages with occasional 35°C+ spikes. Traders are weighting the narrow window for clear-sky intensification versus thunderstorm timing, with the next model runs and CMA updates likely to sharpen resolution ahead of the July 13 observation period.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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