Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan basin as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring 37–39 °C, with 37 °C holding the highest probability at 22.5 %. High humidity, typical of July’s East Asian monsoon regime, limits nocturnal cooling while daytime insolation and light winds promote rapid warming, yet scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create the tight spread across 36–39 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs showing slight cooling from increased moisture against climatological peaks near 35 °C, with new short-range guidance expected within 24 hours likely to sharpen resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 14일 청두에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 14일 청두에서 가장 높은 기온?
39°C 40%
38°C 32%
37°C 12%
40°C 11.4%
신규
$19,801 거래량
신규
$19,801 거래량
2026.07.14
34°C 이하
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
12%
38°C
32%
39°C
40%
40°C
11%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C 이상
<1%
39°C 40%
38°C 32%
37°C 12%
40°C 11.4%
신규
$19,801 거래량
신규
$19,801 거래량
2026.07.14
34°C 이하
$2,903 거래량
<1%
35°C
$2,561 거래량
1%
36°C
$2,828 거래량
3%
37°C
$1,828 거래량
12%
38°C
$1,237 거래량
32%
39°C
$1,949 거래량
40%
40°C
$2,104 거래량
11%
41°C
$2,262 거래량
1%
42°C
$1,705 거래량
<1%
43°C
$217 거래량
<1%
44°C 이상
$380 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan basin as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring 37–39 °C, with 37 °C holding the highest probability at 22.5 %. High humidity, typical of July’s East Asian monsoon regime, limits nocturnal cooling while daytime insolation and light winds promote rapid warming, yet scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create the tight spread across 36–39 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs showing slight cooling from increased moisture against climatological peaks near 35 °C, with new short-range guidance expected within 24 hours likely to sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
거래량
$19,801종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan basin as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring 37–39 °C, with 37 °C holding the highest probability at 22.5 %. High humidity, typical of July’s East Asian monsoon regime, limits nocturnal cooling while daytime insolation and light winds promote rapid warming, yet scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create the tight spread across 36–39 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs showing slight cooling from increased moisture against climatological peaks near 35 °C, with new short-range guidance expected within 24 hours likely to sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$19,801종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan basin as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring 37–39 °C, with 37 °C holding the highest probability at 22.5 %. High humidity, typical of July’s East Asian monsoon regime, limits nocturnal cooling while daytime insolation and light winds promote rapid warming, yet scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create the tight spread across 36–39 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs showing slight cooling from increased moisture against climatological peaks near 35 °C, with new short-range guidance expected within 24 hours likely to sharpen resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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