Traders see closely matched probabilities across 31–33°C because short-range ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on July 9 show high uncertainty in peak daytime temperatures amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions. Afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover can suppress maxima by 1–2°C, while clearer, drier air masses allow readings to reach 33°C or higher under strong solar heating. Historical July averages near 32°C, combined with urban heat-island effects and variable humidity, keep the distribution tight around these thresholds, with new model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration likely to shift sentiment as the date approaches.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 9?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 9?
34°C or higher 34%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
31°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.07.09
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C or higher
34%
34°C or higher 34%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
31°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.07.09
24°C or below
$445 거래량
<1%
25°C
$21 거래량
<1%
26°C
$22 거래량
<1%
27°C
$382 거래량
<1%
28°C
$523 거래량
<1%
29°C
$54 거래량
3%
30°C
$9 거래량
4%
31°C
$42 거래량
19%
32°C
$16 거래량
21%
33°C
$142 거래량
26%
34°C or higher
$171 거래량
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched probabilities across 31–33°C because short-range ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on July 9 show high uncertainty in peak daytime temperatures amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions. Afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover can suppress maxima by 1–2°C, while clearer, drier air masses allow readings to reach 33°C or higher under strong solar heating. Historical July averages near 32°C, combined with urban heat-island effects and variable humidity, keep the distribution tight around these thresholds, with new model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration likely to shift sentiment as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$1,827종료일
2026.07.09마켓 개설일
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched probabilities across 31–33°C because short-range ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on July 9 show high uncertainty in peak daytime temperatures amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions. Afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover can suppress maxima by 1–2°C, while clearer, drier air masses allow readings to reach 33°C or higher under strong solar heating. Historical July averages near 32°C, combined with urban heat-island effects and variable humidity, keep the distribution tight around these thresholds, with new model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration likely to shift sentiment as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,827종료일
2026.07.09마켓 개설일
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTraders see closely matched probabilities across 31–33°C because short-range ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on July 9 show high uncertainty in peak daytime temperatures amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions. Afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover can suppress maxima by 1–2°C, while clearer, drier air masses allow readings to reach 33°C or higher under strong solar heating. Historical July averages near 32°C, combined with urban heat-island effects and variable humidity, keep the distribution tight around these thresholds, with new model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration likely to shift sentiment as the date approaches.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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