**Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on July 9 centering on 34–35°C because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal mean.** July climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33°C, yet values routinely range 32–37°C depending on Arabian Sea breeze strength, low-level moisture advection, and cloud cover tied to the advancing monsoon. Current guidance indicates above-normal temperatures for Sindh through the month, with limited rainfall expected to suppress daytime cooling. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in maximum-temperature forecasts at this lead time, where small differences in wind direction or timing of any sea-breeze onset can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Karachi on July 9?
35°C 40%
34°C 39%
33°C 8%
36°C 7.1%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
39%
35°C
40%
36°C
7%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 40%
34°C 39%
33°C 8%
36°C 7.1%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
39%
35°C
40%
36°C
7%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on July 9 centering on 34–35°C because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal mean.** July climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33°C, yet values routinely range 32–37°C depending on Arabian Sea breeze strength, low-level moisture advection, and cloud cover tied to the advancing monsoon. Current guidance indicates above-normal temperatures for Sindh through the month, with limited rainfall expected to suppress daytime cooling. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in maximum-temperature forecasts at this lead time, where small differences in wind direction or timing of any sea-breeze onset can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문