Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 7?
31°C 31%
32°C 23.5%
30°C 18%
33°C or higher 11.6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
18%
31°C
31%
32°C
24%
33°C or higher
12%
31°C 31%
32°C 23.5%
30°C 18%
33°C or higher 11.6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
18%
31°C
31%
32°C
24%
33°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문