The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 13일 휴스턴에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 13일 휴스턴에서 가장 높은 기온?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F 이하 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$45,472 거래량
$45,472 거래량
2026.07.13
75°F 이하
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F 이상
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F 이하 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$45,472 거래량
$45,472 거래량
2026.07.13
75°F 이하
$4,989 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$1,588 거래량
<1%
78-79°F
$2,693 거래량
<1%
80-81°F
$3,908 거래량
<1%
82-83°F
$4,938 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$6,818 거래량
100%
86-87°F
$5,490 거래량
<1%
88-89°F
$3,850 거래량
<1%
90-91°F
$4,816 거래량
<1%
92-93°F
$4,125 거래량
<1%
94°F 이상
$2,261 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
거래량
$45,472종료일
2026.07.13마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$45,472종료일
2026.07.13마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThe closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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