Jeddah's July climatology, with average daily highs near 37°C driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and strong radiative heating over the Red Sea, underpins the market's concentration of implied probability on 36–38°C outcomes for July 14. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show stable northwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover through mid-month, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than anomalous heat or cooling from transient moisture surges. Short-range ensemble guidance indicates modest day-to-day variability tied to boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze effects, with the highest daily maximum likely falling between 36–38°C absent unexpected synoptic shifts. Updated model cycles and official Saudi meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 14일 제다에서 가장 높은 온도는?
38°C 이상 48%
37°C 41%
36°C 8%
35°C 2.6%
$13,038 거래량
$13,038 거래량
28°C 이하
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
8%
37°C
41%
38°C 이상
48%
38°C 이상 48%
37°C 41%
36°C 8%
35°C 2.6%
$13,038 거래량
$13,038 거래량
28°C 이하
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
8%
37°C
41%
38°C 이상
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Jeddah's July climatology, with average daily highs near 37°C driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and strong radiative heating over the Red Sea, underpins the market's concentration of implied probability on 36–38°C outcomes for July 14. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show stable northwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover through mid-month, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than anomalous heat or cooling from transient moisture surges. Short-range ensemble guidance indicates modest day-to-day variability tied to boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze effects, with the highest daily maximum likely falling between 36–38°C absent unexpected synoptic shifts. Updated model cycles and official Saudi meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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