Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 11일에 파리에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
7월 11일에 파리에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
36°C 39%
37°C 25%
35°C 19%
38°C 5.6%
신규
$16,902 거래량
신규
$16,902 거래량
2026.07.11
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
19%
36°C
39%
37°C
25%
38°C
6%
39°C or higher
3%
36°C 39%
37°C 25%
35°C 19%
38°C 5.6%
신규
$16,902 거래량
신규
$16,902 거래량
2026.07.11
29°C or below
$612 거래량
<1%
30°C
$420 거래량
<1%
31°C
$412 거래량
<1%
32°C
$457 거래량
<1%
33°C
$702 거래량
1%
34°C
$1,273 거래량
4%
35°C
$1,552 거래량
19%
36°C
$3,981 거래량
39%
37°C
$2,539 거래량
25%
38°C
$1,965 거래량
6%
39°C or higher
$2,990 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$16,902종료일
2026.07.11마켓 개설일
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$16,902종료일
2026.07.11마켓 개설일
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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