Current forecasts from multiple models converge on a 30–32°C high for Tel Aviv on July 3, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (40.5%) and 32°C (31%). Typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions feature strong solar heating under high pressure, tempered by persistent westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean that limit extreme peaks near the coast. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on small variations in low-level wind speed, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing within ensemble guidance; stronger onshore flow favors 31°C while lighter winds or slight warming aloft tilt toward 32°C. Historical July averages near 30°C and recent stable patterns without heat-wave signals keep higher or lower tails at low probabilities ahead of updated Israel Meteorological Service runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 3?
31°C 52%
32°C 27%
30°C 17.8%
33°C 3.0%
$15,460 거래량
$15,460 거래량
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
18%
31°C
52%
32°C
27%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 27%
30°C 17.8%
33°C 3.0%
$15,460 거래량
$15,460 거래량
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
18%
31°C
52%
32°C
27%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models converge on a 30–32°C high for Tel Aviv on July 3, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (40.5%) and 32°C (31%). Typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions feature strong solar heating under high pressure, tempered by persistent westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean that limit extreme peaks near the coast. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on small variations in low-level wind speed, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing within ensemble guidance; stronger onshore flow favors 31°C while lighter winds or slight warming aloft tilt toward 32°C. Historical July averages near 30°C and recent stable patterns without heat-wave signals keep higher or lower tails at low probabilities ahead of updated Israel Meteorological Service runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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