Recent forecasts for Wuhan on June 18, 2026, show daytime highs clustering around 29–31°C amid rising seasonal warmth in the region’s humid subtropical climate, with BBC guidance citing a 31°C peak under thundery showers and other models indicating 29–30°C. This narrow spread, combined with variables such as cloud cover, localized precipitation timing, humidity levels near 60%, and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon, creates genuine forecast uncertainty that supports closely matched market-implied odds for those three outcomes. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet short-term model divergence on exact maxima—driven by evolving atmospheric moisture and wind shifts—keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration are expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 18일 우한에서 가장 높은 온도는?
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
29°C 25%
32°C 11%
$37,563 거래량
$37,563 거래량
27°C 이하
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C 이상
<1%
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
29°C 25%
32°C 11%
$37,563 거래량
$37,563 거래량
27°C 이하
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan on June 18, 2026, show daytime highs clustering around 29–31°C amid rising seasonal warmth in the region’s humid subtropical climate, with BBC guidance citing a 31°C peak under thundery showers and other models indicating 29–30°C. This narrow spread, combined with variables such as cloud cover, localized precipitation timing, humidity levels near 60%, and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon, creates genuine forecast uncertainty that supports closely matched market-implied odds for those three outcomes. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet short-term model divergence on exact maxima—driven by evolving atmospheric moisture and wind shifts—keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration are expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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