President Lee Jae-myung holds office under South Korea’s constitutional immunity provision, which shields sitting presidents from criminal prosecution and arrest for most offenses during their term. Multiple pending cases involving election-law violations, bribery, and other charges have been suspended or postponed indefinitely by courts since his June 2025 inauguration, with no active detention warrants or imminent proceedings reported. The ruling Democratic Party’s parliamentary majority has advanced measures to further limit prosecutorial actions against him, while opposition efforts to revive cases lack sufficient legislative support. These structural protections and procedural halts underpin trader consensus that arrest before 2027 remains unlikely absent an extraordinary constitutional shift or unforeseen legal reversal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$319,037 거래량
$319,037 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$319,037 거래량
$319,037 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung holds office under South Korea’s constitutional immunity provision, which shields sitting presidents from criminal prosecution and arrest for most offenses during their term. Multiple pending cases involving election-law violations, bribery, and other charges have been suspended or postponed indefinitely by courts since his June 2025 inauguration, with no active detention warrants or imminent proceedings reported. The ruling Democratic Party’s parliamentary majority has advanced measures to further limit prosecutorial actions against him, while opposition efforts to revive cases lack sufficient legislative support. These structural protections and procedural halts underpin trader consensus that arrest before 2027 remains unlikely absent an extraordinary constitutional shift or unforeseen legal reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
거래량
$319,037종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung holds office under South Korea’s constitutional immunity provision, which shields sitting presidents from criminal prosecution and arrest for most offenses during their term. Multiple pending cases involving election-law violations, bribery, and other charges have been suspended or postponed indefinitely by courts since his June 2025 inauguration, with no active detention warrants or imminent proceedings reported. The ruling Democratic Party’s parliamentary majority has advanced measures to further limit prosecutorial actions against him, while opposition efforts to revive cases lack sufficient legislative support. These structural protections and procedural halts underpin trader consensus that arrest before 2027 remains unlikely absent an extraordinary constitutional shift or unforeseen legal reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$319,037종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung holds office under South Korea’s constitutional immunity provision, which shields sitting presidents from criminal prosecution and arrest for most offenses during their term. Multiple pending cases involving election-law violations, bribery, and other charges have been suspended or postponed indefinitely by courts since his June 2025 inauguration, with no active detention warrants or imminent proceedings reported. The ruling Democratic Party’s parliamentary majority has advanced measures to further limit prosecutorial actions against him, while opposition efforts to revive cases lack sufficient legislative support. These structural protections and procedural halts underpin trader consensus that arrest before 2027 remains unlikely absent an extraordinary constitutional shift or unforeseen legal reversal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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