Michigan's 12th Congressional District, with a D+21 partisan voting index, overwhelmingly favors Democrats, as evidenced by incumbent Rashida Tlaib's 69.7% victory in the 2024 general election and similar margins in prior cycles against Republican James Hooper, who has filed again. The April 21 filing deadline locked in a crowded Democratic primary featuring Tlaib, Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen, former state Rep. Shanelle Jackson, and Allen Downer, but traders view the general election outcome as a foregone conclusion regardless of the August 4 primary winner, pricing Democratic Party control at 93%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic. A Republican upset would require an extraordinary Democratic scandal post-primary, a high-profile GOP recruit, or a national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$28,833 거래량
$28,833 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
5%
$28,833 거래량
$28,833 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$17,658 거래량
93%
공화당
$11,175 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th Congressional District, with a D+21 partisan voting index, overwhelmingly favors Democrats, as evidenced by incumbent Rashida Tlaib's 69.7% victory in the 2024 general election and similar margins in prior cycles against Republican James Hooper, who has filed again. The April 21 filing deadline locked in a crowded Democratic primary featuring Tlaib, Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen, former state Rep. Shanelle Jackson, and Allen Downer, but traders view the general election outcome as a foregone conclusion regardless of the August 4 primary winner, pricing Democratic Party control at 93%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic. A Republican upset would require an extraordinary Democratic scandal post-primary, a high-profile GOP recruit, or a national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$28,833종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th Congressional District, with a D+21 partisan voting index, overwhelmingly favors Democrats, as evidenced by incumbent Rashida Tlaib's 69.7% victory in the 2024 general election and similar margins in prior cycles against Republican James Hooper, who has filed again. The April 21 filing deadline locked in a crowded Democratic primary featuring Tlaib, Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen, former state Rep. Shanelle Jackson, and Allen Downer, but traders view the general election outcome as a foregone conclusion regardless of the August 4 primary winner, pricing Democratic Party control at 93%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic. A Republican upset would require an extraordinary Democratic scandal post-primary, a high-profile GOP recruit, or a national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$28,833종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th Congressional District, with a D+21 partisan voting index, overwhelmingly favors Democrats, as evidenced by incumbent Rashida Tlaib's 69.7% victory in the 2024 general election and similar margins in prior cycles against Republican James Hooper, who has filed again. The April 21 filing deadline locked in a crowded Democratic primary featuring Tlaib, Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen, former state Rep. Shanelle Jackson, and Allen Downer, but traders view the general election outcome as a foregone conclusion regardless of the August 4 primary winner, pricing Democratic Party control at 93%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic. A Republican upset would require an extraordinary Democratic scandal post-primary, a high-profile GOP recruit, or a national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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