Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classifying it as Solid Democratic. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib is seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, facing limited opposition after the August 4 primaries where she competes against Democratic challengers Shanelle Jackson and Byron Nolen while Republican James Hooper advances unopposed in his primary. The district's voter composition and historical margins have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A major shift would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal involving the nominee or an unusually strong Republican performance in a low-turnout environment, though structural factors make such changes improbable before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트MI-12 House Election Winner
MI-12 House Election Winner
$29,515 거래량
$29,515 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$29,515 거래량
$29,515 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$18,339 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$11,175 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classifying it as Solid Democratic. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib is seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, facing limited opposition after the August 4 primaries where she competes against Democratic challengers Shanelle Jackson and Byron Nolen while Republican James Hooper advances unopposed in his primary. The district's voter composition and historical margins have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A major shift would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal involving the nominee or an unusually strong Republican performance in a low-turnout environment, though structural factors make such changes improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$29,515종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classifying it as Solid Democratic. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib is seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, facing limited opposition after the August 4 primaries where she competes against Democratic challengers Shanelle Jackson and Byron Nolen while Republican James Hooper advances unopposed in his primary. The district's voter composition and historical margins have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A major shift would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal involving the nominee or an unusually strong Republican performance in a low-turnout environment, though structural factors make such changes improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$29,515종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classifying it as Solid Democratic. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib is seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, facing limited opposition after the August 4 primaries where she competes against Democratic challengers Shanelle Jackson and Byron Nolen while Republican James Hooper advances unopposed in his primary. The district's voter composition and historical margins have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A major shift would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal involving the nominee or an unusually strong Republican performance in a low-turnout environment, though structural factors make such changes improbable before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문