Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest in Minnesota's 6th congressional district, a seat long considered safely Republican based on its partisan voting index and consistent electoral margins. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's historical support for GOP candidates and Emmer's established fundraising and name recognition. Democratic primary contenders, including Doug Chapin and others, have not yet produced polling or momentum to challenge that positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader probabilities align with these structural factors, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from primary results or broader midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,741 거래량
$15,741 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
19%
$15,741 거래량
$15,741 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$9,464 거래량
79%
Democratic Party
$6,276 거래량
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest in Minnesota's 6th congressional district, a seat long considered safely Republican based on its partisan voting index and consistent electoral margins. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's historical support for GOP candidates and Emmer's established fundraising and name recognition. Democratic primary contenders, including Doug Chapin and others, have not yet produced polling or momentum to challenge that positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader probabilities align with these structural factors, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from primary results or broader midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$15,741종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest in Minnesota's 6th congressional district, a seat long considered safely Republican based on its partisan voting index and consistent electoral margins. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's historical support for GOP candidates and Emmer's established fundraising and name recognition. Democratic primary contenders, including Doug Chapin and others, have not yet produced polling or momentum to challenge that positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader probabilities align with these structural factors, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from primary results or broader midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,741종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest in Minnesota's 6th congressional district, a seat long considered safely Republican based on its partisan voting index and consistent electoral margins. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's historical support for GOP candidates and Emmer's established fundraising and name recognition. Democratic primary contenders, including Doug Chapin and others, have not yet produced polling or momentum to challenge that positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader probabilities align with these structural factors, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from primary results or broader midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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