Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 78% in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District House race due to incumbent Ann Wagner's strong track record, including a 54.5% victory in 2024 and a comfortable 64.8% GOP primary win that year, in an R+4 district where Donald Trump carried 54.5% in 2024. Recent candidate filings closed May 6 confirmed Wagner faces token Republican primary challengers on August 4, while Democrats field five contenders led by well-funded veteran Frederick Wellman, fragmenting opposition resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with no public polling to suggest a competitive challenge despite national Democratic targeting efforts last year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
20%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,188 거래량
78%
Democratic Party
$2,183 거래량
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 78% in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District House race due to incumbent Ann Wagner's strong track record, including a 54.5% victory in 2024 and a comfortable 64.8% GOP primary win that year, in an R+4 district where Donald Trump carried 54.5% in 2024. Recent candidate filings closed May 6 confirmed Wagner faces token Republican primary challengers on August 4, while Democrats field five contenders led by well-funded veteran Frederick Wellman, fragmenting opposition resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with no public polling to suggest a competitive challenge despite national Democratic targeting efforts last year.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$5,370종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 78% in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District House race due to incumbent Ann Wagner's strong track record, including a 54.5% victory in 2024 and a comfortable 64.8% GOP primary win that year, in an R+4 district where Donald Trump carried 54.5% in 2024. Recent candidate filings closed May 6 confirmed Wagner faces token Republican primary challengers on August 4, while Democrats field five contenders led by well-funded veteran Frederick Wellman, fragmenting opposition resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with no public polling to suggest a competitive challenge despite national Democratic targeting efforts last year.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,370종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 78% in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District House race due to incumbent Ann Wagner's strong track record, including a 54.5% victory in 2024 and a comfortable 64.8% GOP primary win that year, in an R+4 district where Donald Trump carried 54.5% in 2024. Recent candidate filings closed May 6 confirmed Wagner faces token Republican primary challengers on August 4, while Democrats field five contenders led by well-funded veteran Frederick Wellman, fragmenting opposition resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with no public polling to suggest a competitive challenge despite national Democratic targeting efforts last year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문