South Carolina's partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly eight points, and incumbent Lindsey Graham holds a consistent lead in early polling against potential Democratic challengers such as Annie Andrews. Recent surveys from spring 2026 show Graham ahead by double-digit margins in both primary and general-election matchups, supported by his substantial fundraising edge and absence of strong primary opposition. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's history of Republican statewide victories and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural factors underpin the current market consensus that a Republican will win the seat beginning in 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,538 거래량
$29,538 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
81%
민주당
21%
$29,538 거래량
$29,538 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$11,169 거래량
81%
민주당
$18,369 거래량
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly eight points, and incumbent Lindsey Graham holds a consistent lead in early polling against potential Democratic challengers such as Annie Andrews. Recent surveys from spring 2026 show Graham ahead by double-digit margins in both primary and general-election matchups, supported by his substantial fundraising edge and absence of strong primary opposition. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's history of Republican statewide victories and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural factors underpin the current market consensus that a Republican will win the seat beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$29,538종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly eight points, and incumbent Lindsey Graham holds a consistent lead in early polling against potential Democratic challengers such as Annie Andrews. Recent surveys from spring 2026 show Graham ahead by double-digit margins in both primary and general-election matchups, supported by his substantial fundraising edge and absence of strong primary opposition. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's history of Republican statewide victories and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural factors underpin the current market consensus that a Republican will win the seat beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$29,538종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly eight points, and incumbent Lindsey Graham holds a consistent lead in early polling against potential Democratic challengers such as Annie Andrews. Recent surveys from spring 2026 show Graham ahead by double-digit margins in both primary and general-election matchups, supported by his substantial fundraising edge and absence of strong primary opposition. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the state's history of Republican statewide victories and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural factors underpin the current market consensus that a Republican will win the seat beginning in 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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