Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's dominant 86% Democratic primary win on March 10 solidified trader consensus at 84% for a Democratic victory in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the district's D+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, majority-Black demographics, and history of lopsided general election margins—including Thompson's 62%-38% defeat of the same Republican nominee, Ron Eller, in 2024. Eller's narrow 51% GOP primary edge amid low turnout underscores weak Republican opposition, compounded by Thompson's $1.4 million cash-on-hand advantage over Eller's $38,000 as of late March. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce the status quo, with no major shifts since primaries and the November 3 general election approaching.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$21,568 거래량
$21,568 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
84%
Republican Party
12%
$21,568 거래량
$21,568 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$11,302 거래량
84%
Republican Party
$10,266 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's dominant 86% Democratic primary win on March 10 solidified trader consensus at 84% for a Democratic victory in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the district's D+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, majority-Black demographics, and history of lopsided general election margins—including Thompson's 62%-38% defeat of the same Republican nominee, Ron Eller, in 2024. Eller's narrow 51% GOP primary edge amid low turnout underscores weak Republican opposition, compounded by Thompson's $1.4 million cash-on-hand advantage over Eller's $38,000 as of late March. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce the status quo, with no major shifts since primaries and the November 3 general election approaching.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$21,568종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's dominant 86% Democratic primary win on March 10 solidified trader consensus at 84% for a Democratic victory in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the district's D+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, majority-Black demographics, and history of lopsided general election margins—including Thompson's 62%-38% defeat of the same Republican nominee, Ron Eller, in 2024. Eller's narrow 51% GOP primary edge amid low turnout underscores weak Republican opposition, compounded by Thompson's $1.4 million cash-on-hand advantage over Eller's $38,000 as of late March. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce the status quo, with no major shifts since primaries and the November 3 general election approaching.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$21,568종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson's dominant 86% Democratic primary win on March 10 solidified trader consensus at 84% for a Democratic victory in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the district's D+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, majority-Black demographics, and history of lopsided general election margins—including Thompson's 62%-38% defeat of the same Republican nominee, Ron Eller, in 2024. Eller's narrow 51% GOP primary edge amid low turnout underscores weak Republican opposition, compounded by Thompson's $1.4 million cash-on-hand advantage over Eller's $38,000 as of late March. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce the status quo, with no major shifts since primaries and the November 3 general election approaching.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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