Mississippi’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by incumbent Mike Ezell’s primary victory and the area’s consistent voting patterns along the Gulf Coast. Ezell secured the GOP nomination with roughly 84 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in his party’s contest; an independent candidate also qualified for the November general election. The district has delivered Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify it as a safe hold. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or district dynamics reported since the primaries, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee as the likely winner.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트MS-04 House Election Winner
MS-04 House Election Winner
$24,399 거래량
$24,399 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
4%
$24,399 거래량
$24,399 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$9,763 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$14,636 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by incumbent Mike Ezell’s primary victory and the area’s consistent voting patterns along the Gulf Coast. Ezell secured the GOP nomination with roughly 84 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in his party’s contest; an independent candidate also qualified for the November general election. The district has delivered Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify it as a safe hold. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or district dynamics reported since the primaries, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee as the likely winner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$24,399종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by incumbent Mike Ezell’s primary victory and the area’s consistent voting patterns along the Gulf Coast. Ezell secured the GOP nomination with roughly 84 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in his party’s contest; an independent candidate also qualified for the November general election. The district has delivered Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify it as a safe hold. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or district dynamics reported since the primaries, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee as the likely winner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$24,399종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by incumbent Mike Ezell’s primary victory and the area’s consistent voting patterns along the Gulf Coast. Ezell secured the GOP nomination with roughly 84 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in his party’s contest; an independent candidate also qualified for the November general election. The district has delivered Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify it as a safe hold. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or district dynamics reported since the primaries, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee as the likely winner.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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