Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a consistent double-digit lead in recent polls for the 2026 New York gubernatorial election against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, reflecting New York’s structural Democratic advantages in statewide contests and her incumbency benefits in fundraising and party infrastructure. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive who secured the nomination after Elise Stefanik withdrew and received an endorsement from President Trump, trails significantly in surveys and faces hurdles expanding support beyond core Republican areas. The market’s 89.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome captures this consensus among traders, though the June primary and general election campaign could introduce variables that alter the trajectory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$66,018 거래량
$66,018 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
90%
공화당
11%
$66,018 거래량
$66,018 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$29,442 거래량
90%
공화당
$36,576 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a consistent double-digit lead in recent polls for the 2026 New York gubernatorial election against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, reflecting New York’s structural Democratic advantages in statewide contests and her incumbency benefits in fundraising and party infrastructure. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive who secured the nomination after Elise Stefanik withdrew and received an endorsement from President Trump, trails significantly in surveys and faces hurdles expanding support beyond core Republican areas. The market’s 89.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome captures this consensus among traders, though the June primary and general election campaign could introduce variables that alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
거래량
$66,018종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a consistent double-digit lead in recent polls for the 2026 New York gubernatorial election against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, reflecting New York’s structural Democratic advantages in statewide contests and her incumbency benefits in fundraising and party infrastructure. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive who secured the nomination after Elise Stefanik withdrew and received an endorsement from President Trump, trails significantly in surveys and faces hurdles expanding support beyond core Republican areas. The market’s 89.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome captures this consensus among traders, though the June primary and general election campaign could introduce variables that alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$66,018종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a consistent double-digit lead in recent polls for the 2026 New York gubernatorial election against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, reflecting New York’s structural Democratic advantages in statewide contests and her incumbency benefits in fundraising and party infrastructure. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive who secured the nomination after Elise Stefanik withdrew and received an endorsement from President Trump, trails significantly in surveys and faces hurdles expanding support beyond core Republican areas. The market’s 89.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome captures this consensus among traders, though the June primary and general election campaign could introduce variables that alter the trajectory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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