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정치·오후

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
정치·오후

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Elly Schlein 19%

실비아 살리스 18.4%

안젤로 보넬리 10.5%

Polymarket

$14,540 거래량

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Elly Schlein 19%

실비아 살리스 18.4%

안젤로 보넬리 10.5%

Polymarket

$14,540 거래량

Giorgia Meloni

$3,482 거래량

43%

Elly Schlein

$712 거래량

19%

Giuseppe Conte

$984 거래량

9%

Antonio Tajani

$943 거래량

3%

Matteo Salvini

$1,264 거래량

2%

Guido Crosetto

$645 거래량

2%

Mario Draghi

$483 거래량

5%

실비아 살리스

$2,127 거래량

18%

로베르토 바나치

$2,133 거래량

8%

마테오 렌치

$417 거래량

3%

안젤로 보넬리

$748 거래량

11%

카를로 칼렌다

$602 거래량

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni leads trader sentiment in the next Italian prime minister market due to her sustained incumbency and the right-wing coalition's parliamentary majority, which has delivered over three years of government stability despite recent setbacks. A March 2026 constitutional referendum on judicial reforms was rejected by voters, prompting coalition adjustments and internal shifts within Forza Italia while highlighting opposition momentum. Polling trends continue to show her Fratelli d'Italia party ahead at around 28-29 percent, though the broader coalition faces risks of losing its majority. Fragmented center-left figures such as Elly Schlein and emerging challengers like Silvia Salis benefit from this turbulence but lack unified support ahead of the 2027 general election deadline. Economic pressures and international tensions add volatility, yet historical patterns favor continuity for the current administration.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$14,540
종료일
2028.12.31
마켓 개설일
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni leads trader sentiment in the next Italian prime minister market due to her sustained incumbency and the right-wing coalition's parliamentary majority, which has delivered over three years of government stability despite recent setbacks. A March 2026 constitutional referendum on judicial reforms was rejected by voters, prompting coalition adjustments and internal shifts within Forza Italia while highlighting opposition momentum. Polling trends continue to show her Fratelli d'Italia party ahead at around 28-29 percent, though the broader coalition faces risks of losing its majority. Fragmented center-left figures such as Elly Schlein and emerging challengers like Silvia Salis benefit from this turbulence but lack unified support ahead of the 2027 general election deadline. Economic pressures and international tensions add volatility, yet historical patterns favor continuity for the current administration.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$14,540
종료일
2028.12.31
마켓 개설일
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Next Prime Minister of Italy?"은 12개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 43%의 "Giorgia Meloni"이며, 이어서 19%의 "Elly Schlein"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 43¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 43%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Next Prime Minister of Italy?"은 총 $14.5K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Apr 21, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Next Prime Minister of Italy?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 12개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Next Prime Minister of Italy?"의 현재 유력 후보는 43%의 "Giorgia Meloni"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 43%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 19%의 "Elly Schlein"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Next Prime Minister of Italy?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.