Kevin Hern's 93% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican U.S. Senate primary reflects trader consensus on his dominant position as the early frontrunner, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement days after his March 11 announcement and backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Tim Scott. The open seat, created by Sen. Markwayne Mullin's confirmation as DHS Secretary, favors Hern's incumbency advantage from representing OK-01, superior fundraising, and statewide name recognition in the deep-red primary on June 16. Recent campaign stops across counties underscore his momentum, with minimal challengers like Rep. Stephanie Bice or Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell trailing far behind. Upsets could arise from a late high-profile entrant, damaging revelations, or weak turnout among his base.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트케빈 헌 93%
존 M. 오코너 <1%
웨인 로니 워싱턴 <1%
닉 행킨스 <1%
$59,545 거래량
$59,545 거래량
케빈 헌
93%
존 M. 오코너
1%
웨인 로니 워싱턴
1%
닉 행킨스
1%
스테퍼니 바이스
1%
마크웨인 멀린
<1%
도넬 하더
<1%
론 마인하트
<1%
태미 스웨어엔진
<1%
맷 피넬
<1%
케빈 헌 93%
존 M. 오코너 <1%
웨인 로니 워싱턴 <1%
닉 행킨스 <1%
$59,545 거래량
$59,545 거래량
케빈 헌
93%
존 M. 오코너
1%
웨인 로니 워싱턴
1%
닉 행킨스
1%
스테퍼니 바이스
1%
마크웨인 멀린
<1%
도넬 하더
<1%
론 마인하트
<1%
태미 스웨어엔진
<1%
맷 피넬
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kevin Hern's 93% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican U.S. Senate primary reflects trader consensus on his dominant position as the early frontrunner, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement days after his March 11 announcement and backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Tim Scott. The open seat, created by Sen. Markwayne Mullin's confirmation as DHS Secretary, favors Hern's incumbency advantage from representing OK-01, superior fundraising, and statewide name recognition in the deep-red primary on June 16. Recent campaign stops across counties underscore his momentum, with minimal challengers like Rep. Stephanie Bice or Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell trailing far behind. Upsets could arise from a late high-profile entrant, damaging revelations, or weak turnout among his base.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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