Trader consensus gives Charles Booker an 86.5% implied probability of winning the Kentucky Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by his consistent double-digit leads in polling averages—RealClearPolitics shows +10.5, with the latest Emerson/FOX56 survey (March 29–31) at 36% Booker to 18% Amy McGrath. Progressive endorsements, including Our Revolution on May 11, have amplified Booker's grassroots appeal and name recognition from his competitive 2020 primary challenge against McGrath, outweighing her $1.9 million fundraising edge. Minor candidates trail far behind in surveys, while early voting and final campaigning could prompt shifts in this open-seat race to replace retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트찰스 부커 86%
에이미 맥그래스 8%
파멜라 스티븐슨 1.1%
조엘 윌렛 1.0%
$39,379 거래량
$39,379 거래량
2026.05.19
찰스 부커
86%
에이미 맥그래스
8%
파멜라 스티븐슨
1%
조엘 윌렛
1%
데일 로만스
1%
자레드 랜달
1%
로건 포사이드
<1%
빈센트 톰프슨
<1%
찰스 부커 86%
에이미 맥그래스 8%
파멜라 스티븐슨 1.1%
조엘 윌렛 1.0%
$39,379 거래량
$39,379 거래량
2026.05.19
찰스 부커
$12,536 거래량
86%
에이미 맥그래스
$7,335 거래량
8%
파멜라 스티븐슨
$3,427 거래량
1%
조엘 윌렛
$2,138 거래량
1%
데일 로만스
$3,040 거래량
1%
자레드 랜달
$5,466 거래량
1%
로건 포사이드
$3,157 거래량
<1%
빈센트 톰프슨
$2,281 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus gives Charles Booker an 86.5% implied probability of winning the Kentucky Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by his consistent double-digit leads in polling averages—RealClearPolitics shows +10.5, with the latest Emerson/FOX56 survey (March 29–31) at 36% Booker to 18% Amy McGrath. Progressive endorsements, including Our Revolution on May 11, have amplified Booker's grassroots appeal and name recognition from his competitive 2020 primary challenge against McGrath, outweighing her $1.9 million fundraising edge. Minor candidates trail far behind in surveys, while early voting and final campaigning could prompt shifts in this open-seat race to replace retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
거래량
$39,379종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus gives Charles Booker an 86.5% implied probability of winning the Kentucky Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by his consistent double-digit leads in polling averages—RealClearPolitics shows +10.5, with the latest Emerson/FOX56 survey (March 29–31) at 36% Booker to 18% Amy McGrath. Progressive endorsements, including Our Revolution on May 11, have amplified Booker's grassroots appeal and name recognition from his competitive 2020 primary challenge against McGrath, outweighing her $1.9 million fundraising edge. Minor candidates trail far behind in surveys, while early voting and final campaigning could prompt shifts in this open-seat race to replace retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
거래량
$39,379종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus gives Charles Booker an 86.5% implied probability of winning the Kentucky Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by his consistent double-digit leads in polling averages—RealClearPolitics shows +10.5, with the latest Emerson/FOX56 survey (March 29–31) at 36% Booker to 18% Amy McGrath. Progressive endorsements, including Our Revolution on May 11, have amplified Booker's grassroots appeal and name recognition from his competitive 2020 primary challenge against McGrath, outweighing her $1.9 million fundraising edge. Minor candidates trail far behind in surveys, while early voting and final campaigning could prompt shifts in this open-seat race to replace retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문