Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who has held the seat since 2017 and built a moderate profile in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+1, faces a Democratic primary on May 19 featuring Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie—who leads with strong party backing including an endorsement from Governor Josh Shapiro—and challenger Lucia Simonelli. Trader consensus currently tilts slightly toward Democrats overall, reflecting the seat's swing-district dynamics, typical midterm headwinds for the president's party, and Fitzpatrick's narrow past victories. The primary outcome and subsequent general-election polling will determine whether either nominee can consolidate support in this closely divided suburban and rural area.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
48%
Republican Party
31%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$682 거래량
48%
Republican Party
$1,022 거래량
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who has held the seat since 2017 and built a moderate profile in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+1, faces a Democratic primary on May 19 featuring Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie—who leads with strong party backing including an endorsement from Governor Josh Shapiro—and challenger Lucia Simonelli. Trader consensus currently tilts slightly toward Democrats overall, reflecting the seat's swing-district dynamics, typical midterm headwinds for the president's party, and Fitzpatrick's narrow past victories. The primary outcome and subsequent general-election polling will determine whether either nominee can consolidate support in this closely divided suburban and rural area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
거래량
$1,703종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who has held the seat since 2017 and built a moderate profile in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+1, faces a Democratic primary on May 19 featuring Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie—who leads with strong party backing including an endorsement from Governor Josh Shapiro—and challenger Lucia Simonelli. Trader consensus currently tilts slightly toward Democrats overall, reflecting the seat's swing-district dynamics, typical midterm headwinds for the president's party, and Fitzpatrick's narrow past victories. The primary outcome and subsequent general-election polling will determine whether either nominee can consolidate support in this closely divided suburban and rural area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,703종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who has held the seat since 2017 and built a moderate profile in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+1, faces a Democratic primary on May 19 featuring Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie—who leads with strong party backing including an endorsement from Governor Josh Shapiro—and challenger Lucia Simonelli. Trader consensus currently tilts slightly toward Democrats overall, reflecting the seat's swing-district dynamics, typical midterm headwinds for the president's party, and Fitzpatrick's narrow past victories. The primary outcome and subsequent general-election polling will determine whether either nominee can consolidate support in this closely divided suburban and rural area.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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