The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트시세로 루세나 32%
에프라임 필루 20%
로메로 로드리게스 7.3%
닐반 페헤이라 5.8%
$16,077 거래량
$16,077 거래량
2026.10.05
시세로 루세나
32%
에프라임 필루
29%
로메로 로드리게스
7%
닐반 페헤이라
6%
플라비우 루시우
2%
베네치아노 비탈 두 헤구
1%
마르셀루 케이로가
35%
시세로 루세나 32%
에프라임 필루 20%
로메로 로드리게스 7.3%
닐반 페헤이라 5.8%
$16,077 거래량
$16,077 거래량
2026.10.05
시세로 루세나
$12,558 거래량
32%
에프라임 필루
$1,014 거래량
29%
로메로 로드리게스
$735 거래량
7%
닐반 페헤이라
$81 거래량
6%
플라비우 루시우
$170 거래량
2%
베네치아노 비탈 두 헤구
$1,389 거래량
1%
마르셀루 케이로가
$131 거래량
35%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
거래량
$16,077종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$16,077종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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