Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's 92% implied probability of remaining in office through June 30 reflects trader consensus on his entrenched position since January 2025 confirmation, bolstered by recent high-profile engagements amid the Iran conflict. In the past week, Hegseth testified before House and Senate Armed Services committees alongside Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine, defending munitions stockpiles, Pentagon firings—including Navy Secretary John Phelan and Army Chief Randy George—and U.S. personnel deployments to Ukraine for drone warfare lessons, despite bipartisan pushback and Democratic impeachment articles introduced in April. No resignation signals or White House announcements have emerged, with Hegseth set to accompany President Trump to China; late-breaking scandals or health issues could still shift dynamics, though structural GOP Senate support sustains his tenure.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$136,295 거래량
$136,295 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$136,295 거래량
$136,295 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's 92% implied probability of remaining in office through June 30 reflects trader consensus on his entrenched position since January 2025 confirmation, bolstered by recent high-profile engagements amid the Iran conflict. In the past week, Hegseth testified before House and Senate Armed Services committees alongside Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine, defending munitions stockpiles, Pentagon firings—including Navy Secretary John Phelan and Army Chief Randy George—and U.S. personnel deployments to Ukraine for drone warfare lessons, despite bipartisan pushback and Democratic impeachment articles introduced in April. No resignation signals or White House announcements have emerged, with Hegseth set to accompany President Trump to China; late-breaking scandals or health issues could still shift dynamics, though structural GOP Senate support sustains his tenure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
거래량
$136,295종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's 92% implied probability of remaining in office through June 30 reflects trader consensus on his entrenched position since January 2025 confirmation, bolstered by recent high-profile engagements amid the Iran conflict. In the past week, Hegseth testified before House and Senate Armed Services committees alongside Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine, defending munitions stockpiles, Pentagon firings—including Navy Secretary John Phelan and Army Chief Randy George—and U.S. personnel deployments to Ukraine for drone warfare lessons, despite bipartisan pushback and Democratic impeachment articles introduced in April. No resignation signals or White House announcements have emerged, with Hegseth set to accompany President Trump to China; late-breaking scandals or health issues could still shift dynamics, though structural GOP Senate support sustains his tenure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$136,610종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's 92% implied probability of remaining in office through June 30 reflects trader consensus on his entrenched position since January 2025 confirmation, bolstered by recent high-profile engagements amid the Iran conflict. In the past week, Hegseth testified before House and Senate Armed Services committees alongside Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine, defending munitions stockpiles, Pentagon firings—including Navy Secretary John Phelan and Army Chief Randy George—and U.S. personnel deployments to Ukraine for drone warfare lessons, despite bipartisan pushback and Democratic impeachment articles introduced in April. No resignation signals or White House announcements have emerged, with Hegseth set to accompany President Trump to China; late-breaking scandals or health issues could still shift dynamics, though structural GOP Senate support sustains his tenure.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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