Tennessee's solidly Republican political environment and the open seat created by term-limited incumbent Bill Lee position the party's nominee as the heavy favorite in the November 2026 general election. Recent polling in the Republican primary shows U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn maintaining a commanding lead over U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, reflecting strong name recognition and fundraising among GOP voters ahead of the August 6 primary. On the Democratic side, Memphis Councilmember Jerri Green leads a less prominent field with limited statewide visibility. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the state's voting patterns and the absence of major shifts in the past month that would alter the implied probability reflected in trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
91%
Democrat
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$2,938 거래량
91%
Democrat
$981 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican political environment and the open seat created by term-limited incumbent Bill Lee position the party's nominee as the heavy favorite in the November 2026 general election. Recent polling in the Republican primary shows U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn maintaining a commanding lead over U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, reflecting strong name recognition and fundraising among GOP voters ahead of the August 6 primary. On the Democratic side, Memphis Councilmember Jerri Green leads a less prominent field with limited statewide visibility. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the state's voting patterns and the absence of major shifts in the past month that would alter the implied probability reflected in trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
거래량
$3,918종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican political environment and the open seat created by term-limited incumbent Bill Lee position the party's nominee as the heavy favorite in the November 2026 general election. Recent polling in the Republican primary shows U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn maintaining a commanding lead over U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, reflecting strong name recognition and fundraising among GOP voters ahead of the August 6 primary. On the Democratic side, Memphis Councilmember Jerri Green leads a less prominent field with limited statewide visibility. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the state's voting patterns and the absence of major shifts in the past month that would alter the implied probability reflected in trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$3,918종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's solidly Republican political environment and the open seat created by term-limited incumbent Bill Lee position the party's nominee as the heavy favorite in the November 2026 general election. Recent polling in the Republican primary shows U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn maintaining a commanding lead over U.S. Representative John Rose and state Representative Monty Fritts, reflecting strong name recognition and fundraising among GOP voters ahead of the August 6 primary. On the Democratic side, Memphis Councilmember Jerri Green leads a less prominent field with limited statewide visibility. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the state's voting patterns and the absence of major shifts in the past month that would alter the implied probability reflected in trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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