Incumbent Republican Rep. Craig Goldman cruised unopposed through the March 3 Republican primary in Texas's 12th Congressional District, locking in his nomination for the November 3 general election and bolstering trader consensus at 83% for a GOP hold. The redrawn district, finalized in August 2025, delivered a 24-point Trump margin in 2024 and rates Solidly Republican per Cook Political Report, underscoring structural advantages like incumbency and overwhelming partisan lean in Tarrant and Parker counties. Democrat Angela Rodriguez Prilliman won her party's primary, with a potential May 26 runoff pending if needed, but faces steep uphill battle absent a national wave; odds reflect this asymmetry amid steady district fundamentals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$6,499 거래량
83%
Democratic Party
$2,233 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Craig Goldman cruised unopposed through the March 3 Republican primary in Texas's 12th Congressional District, locking in his nomination for the November 3 general election and bolstering trader consensus at 83% for a GOP hold. The redrawn district, finalized in August 2025, delivered a 24-point Trump margin in 2024 and rates Solidly Republican per Cook Political Report, underscoring structural advantages like incumbency and overwhelming partisan lean in Tarrant and Parker counties. Democrat Angela Rodriguez Prilliman won her party's primary, with a potential May 26 runoff pending if needed, but faces steep uphill battle absent a national wave; odds reflect this asymmetry amid steady district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$8,733종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Craig Goldman cruised unopposed through the March 3 Republican primary in Texas's 12th Congressional District, locking in his nomination for the November 3 general election and bolstering trader consensus at 83% for a GOP hold. The redrawn district, finalized in August 2025, delivered a 24-point Trump margin in 2024 and rates Solidly Republican per Cook Political Report, underscoring structural advantages like incumbency and overwhelming partisan lean in Tarrant and Parker counties. Democrat Angela Rodriguez Prilliman won her party's primary, with a potential May 26 runoff pending if needed, but faces steep uphill battle absent a national wave; odds reflect this asymmetry amid steady district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,733종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Craig Goldman cruised unopposed through the March 3 Republican primary in Texas's 12th Congressional District, locking in his nomination for the November 3 general election and bolstering trader consensus at 83% for a GOP hold. The redrawn district, finalized in August 2025, delivered a 24-point Trump margin in 2024 and rates Solidly Republican per Cook Political Report, underscoring structural advantages like incumbency and overwhelming partisan lean in Tarrant and Parker counties. Democrat Angela Rodriguez Prilliman won her party's primary, with a potential May 26 runoff pending if needed, but faces steep uphill battle absent a national wave; odds reflect this asymmetry amid steady district fundamentals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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