**US-Panama diplomatic cooperation and Panama’s reaffirmed sovereignty have reduced the likelihood of any direct US takeover of the canal before 2027.** President Trump’s 2025 threats to “take it back” from alleged Chinese influence prompted Pentagon planning options and visits by Secretaries Rubio and Hegseth, leading to a security agreement for US troop rotations, Panama’s exit from China’s Belt and Road Initiative, and a Panamanian court ruling that transferred two key ports from a Hong Kong operator to a BlackRock-led group. Panama’s President Mulino repeatedly rejected ownership transfer, and in January 2026 declared the bilateral crisis resolved, emphasizing that the canal “remained Panamanian.” No military seizure or administrative transfer has occurred. Traders assign only a 12% chance to “Yes” because structural barriers—including the 1977 Torrijes-Carter Treaties, Panamanian domestic politics, and preference for influence via partnership over outright control—make full US assumption of canal operations by the end of 2026 highly improbable absent a major unforeseen escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$99,169 거래량
$99,169 거래량
2026.12.31
$99,169 거래량
$99,169 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.**US-Panama diplomatic cooperation and Panama’s reaffirmed sovereignty have reduced the likelihood of any direct US takeover of the canal before 2027.**
President Trump’s 2025 threats to “take it back” from alleged Chinese influence prompted Pentagon planning options and visits by Secretaries Rubio and Hegseth, leading to a security agreement for US troop rotations, Panama’s exit from China’s Belt and Road Initiative, and a Panamanian court ruling that transferred two key ports from a Hong Kong operator to a BlackRock-led group. Panama’s President Mulino repeatedly rejected ownership transfer, and in January 2026 declared the bilateral crisis resolved, emphasizing that the canal “remained Panamanian.” No military seizure or administrative transfer has occurred. Traders assign only a 12% chance to “Yes” because structural barriers—including the 1977 Torrijes-Carter Treaties, Panamanian domestic politics, and preference for influence via partnership over outright control—make full US assumption of canal operations by the end of 2026 highly improbable absent a major unforeseen escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
거래량
$99,169종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.**US-Panama diplomatic cooperation and Panama’s reaffirmed sovereignty have reduced the likelihood of any direct US takeover of the canal before 2027.**
President Trump’s 2025 threats to “take it back” from alleged Chinese influence prompted Pentagon planning options and visits by Secretaries Rubio and Hegseth, leading to a security agreement for US troop rotations, Panama’s exit from China’s Belt and Road Initiative, and a Panamanian court ruling that transferred two key ports from a Hong Kong operator to a BlackRock-led group. Panama’s President Mulino repeatedly rejected ownership transfer, and in January 2026 declared the bilateral crisis resolved, emphasizing that the canal “remained Panamanian.” No military seizure or administrative transfer has occurred. Traders assign only a 12% chance to “Yes” because structural barriers—including the 1977 Torrijes-Carter Treaties, Panamanian domestic politics, and preference for influence via partnership over outright control—make full US assumption of canal operations by the end of 2026 highly improbable absent a major unforeseen escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
거래량
$99,169종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US-Panama diplomatic cooperation and Panama’s reaffirmed sovereignty have reduced the likelihood of any direct US takeover of the canal before 2027.** President Trump’s 2025 threats to “take it back” from alleged Chinese influence prompted Pentagon planning options and visits by Secretaries Rubio and Hegseth, leading to a security agreement for US troop rotations, Panama’s exit from China’s Belt and Road Initiative, and a Panamanian court ruling that transferred two key ports from a Hong Kong operator to a BlackRock-led group. Panama’s President Mulino repeatedly rejected ownership transfer, and in January 2026 declared the bilateral crisis resolved, emphasizing that the canal “remained Panamanian.” No military seizure or administrative transfer has occurred. Traders assign only a 12% chance to “Yes” because structural barriers—including the 1977 Torrijes-Carter Treaties, Panamanian domestic politics, and preference for influence via partnership over outright control—make full US assumption of canal operations by the end of 2026 highly improbable absent a major unforeseen escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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