Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, have driven recent supply disruptions and elevated WTI prices, with Brent averaging near $106 per barrel in early May 2026 amid sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day. This risk premium has overshadowed softening Chinese demand and robust U.S. production growth, though recent diplomatic signals point to potential de-escalation and reopening of key shipping lanes. EIA data indicate mixed inventory builds alongside higher exports, while futures markets reflect backwardation signaling tight near-term balances. Traders are monitoring Thursday's weekly petroleum status report and the June OPEC+ meeting, which could adjust quotas and influence price trajectories amid ongoing global economic uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,215,395 거래량
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
10%
↑ $120
21%
↑ $115
33%
↑ $110
59%
↑ $105
82%
↓ $95
60%
↓ $90
37%
↓ $85
21%
↓ $80
11%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $30
<1%
$18,215,395 거래량
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
10%
↑ $120
21%
↑ $115
33%
↑ $110
59%
↑ $105
82%
↓ $95
60%
↓ $90
37%
↓ $85
21%
↓ $80
11%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $30
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 9:12 PM ET
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, have driven recent supply disruptions and elevated WTI prices, with Brent averaging near $106 per barrel in early May 2026 amid sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day. This risk premium has overshadowed softening Chinese demand and robust U.S. production growth, though recent diplomatic signals point to potential de-escalation and reopening of key shipping lanes. EIA data indicate mixed inventory builds alongside higher exports, while futures markets reflect backwardation signaling tight near-term balances. Traders are monitoring Thursday's weekly petroleum status report and the June OPEC+ meeting, which could adjust quotas and influence price trajectories amid ongoing global economic uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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