United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election due to the party's dominant position within the mixed electoral system, extensive regional organization, and alignment with the incumbent administration's priorities. Recent state-backed VTsIOM polling has shown New People rising to second place at 13.4 percent support, overtaking the Communist Party and Liberal Democratic Party in several surveys, driven by targeted outreach to younger voters and urban constituencies. Other parliamentary parties like the LDPR and KPRF continue to register lower single-digit figures in most tracking, reflecting limited shifts in their established bases. These dynamics underscore how administrative advantages and party infrastructure continue to shape seat allocation outcomes ahead of the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트통합 러시아(ER) 61%
뉴피플(NL) 29.7%
러시아 자유민주당(LDPR) 5.4%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF) 3.1%
$8,229,312 거래량
$8,229,312 거래량

통합 러시아(ER)
61%

뉴피플(NL)
30%

러시아 자유민주당(LDPR)
5%

러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF)
3%

공정 러시아 – 진실을 위하여(SRZP)
1%

Rodina
<1%

시민 플랫폼(GP)
<1%
통합 러시아(ER) 61%
뉴피플(NL) 29.7%
러시아 자유민주당(LDPR) 5.4%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF) 3.1%
$8,229,312 거래량
$8,229,312 거래량

통합 러시아(ER)
61%

뉴피플(NL)
30%

러시아 자유민주당(LDPR)
5%

러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF)
3%

공정 러시아 – 진실을 위하여(SRZP)
1%

Rodina
<1%

시민 플랫폼(GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
마켓 개설일: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election due to the party's dominant position within the mixed electoral system, extensive regional organization, and alignment with the incumbent administration's priorities. Recent state-backed VTsIOM polling has shown New People rising to second place at 13.4 percent support, overtaking the Communist Party and Liberal Democratic Party in several surveys, driven by targeted outreach to younger voters and urban constituencies. Other parliamentary parties like the LDPR and KPRF continue to register lower single-digit figures in most tracking, reflecting limited shifts in their established bases. These dynamics underscore how administrative advantages and party infrastructure continue to shape seat allocation outcomes ahead of the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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