The high 88.5 percent probability traders assign to no U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026 stems from persistent diplomatic resistance and procedural hurdles despite repeated administration statements. President Trump has advanced proposals for expanded military facilities in Greenland, including recent talks for additional bases, while congressional measures such as the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act remain stalled amid opposition from key senators. Similar rhetorical focus on other areas has produced no sovereignty transfers, with Denmark and NATO allies rejecting coercive options and the short remaining calendar year limiting time for negotiations, legislation, or international agreements required under U.S. constitutional processes. These factors reinforce the market's assessment that formal incorporation of new territory is unlikely before December 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$22,831 거래량
$22,831 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$22,831 거래량
$22,831 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high 88.5 percent probability traders assign to no U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026 stems from persistent diplomatic resistance and procedural hurdles despite repeated administration statements. President Trump has advanced proposals for expanded military facilities in Greenland, including recent talks for additional bases, while congressional measures such as the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act remain stalled amid opposition from key senators. Similar rhetorical focus on other areas has produced no sovereignty transfers, with Denmark and NATO allies rejecting coercive options and the short remaining calendar year limiting time for negotiations, legislation, or international agreements required under U.S. constitutional processes. These factors reinforce the market's assessment that formal incorporation of new territory is unlikely before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
거래량
$22,831종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high 88.5 percent probability traders assign to no U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026 stems from persistent diplomatic resistance and procedural hurdles despite repeated administration statements. President Trump has advanced proposals for expanded military facilities in Greenland, including recent talks for additional bases, while congressional measures such as the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act remain stalled amid opposition from key senators. Similar rhetorical focus on other areas has produced no sovereignty transfers, with Denmark and NATO allies rejecting coercive options and the short remaining calendar year limiting time for negotiations, legislation, or international agreements required under U.S. constitutional processes. These factors reinforce the market's assessment that formal incorporation of new territory is unlikely before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$22,831종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The high 88.5 percent probability traders assign to no U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026 stems from persistent diplomatic resistance and procedural hurdles despite repeated administration statements. President Trump has advanced proposals for expanded military facilities in Greenland, including recent talks for additional bases, while congressional measures such as the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act remain stalled amid opposition from key senators. Similar rhetorical focus on other areas has produced no sovereignty transfers, with Denmark and NATO allies rejecting coercive options and the short remaining calendar year limiting time for negotiations, legislation, or international agreements required under U.S. constitutional processes. These factors reinforce the market's assessment that formal incorporation of new territory is unlikely before December 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문