Venezuelan crude oil output has stabilized near 1.1 million barrels per day in early 2026 after rebounding from storage-driven shut-ins in late 2025. Expanded U.S. Treasury licenses and sanctions relief have enabled PDVSA and partners like Chevron to restart idle wells, redeploy rigs, and clear export backlogs, supporting modest month-on-month gains. Structural constraints including aging infrastructure, limited diluent supply, and the need for sustained foreign capital inflows continue to cap upside potential. Production remains well below historical peaks above 3 million barrels per day, with forecasts pointing to gradual recovery toward 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end contingent on further contract reforms and investment commitments. Key near-term catalysts include additional OFAC authorizations and quarterly output data that could influence market-implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$110,904 거래량
2027.02.28
110만
97%
120만
72%
130만
37%
140만
22%
150만
8%
170만
4%
200만
4%
$110,904 거래량
110만
$14,523 거래량
97%
120만
$9,200 거래량
72%
130만
$6,895 거래량
37%
140만
$16,818 거래량
22%
150만
$7,998 거래량
8%
170만
$3,757 거래량
4%
200만
$12,636 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil output has stabilized near 1.1 million barrels per day in early 2026 after rebounding from storage-driven shut-ins in late 2025. Expanded U.S. Treasury licenses and sanctions relief have enabled PDVSA and partners like Chevron to restart idle wells, redeploy rigs, and clear export backlogs, supporting modest month-on-month gains. Structural constraints including aging infrastructure, limited diluent supply, and the need for sustained foreign capital inflows continue to cap upside potential. Production remains well below historical peaks above 3 million barrels per day, with forecasts pointing to gradual recovery toward 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end contingent on further contract reforms and investment commitments. Key near-term catalysts include additional OFAC authorizations and quarterly output data that could influence market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
거래량
$110,904종료일
2027.02.28마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil output has stabilized near 1.1 million barrels per day in early 2026 after rebounding from storage-driven shut-ins in late 2025. Expanded U.S. Treasury licenses and sanctions relief have enabled PDVSA and partners like Chevron to restart idle wells, redeploy rigs, and clear export backlogs, supporting modest month-on-month gains. Structural constraints including aging infrastructure, limited diluent supply, and the need for sustained foreign capital inflows continue to cap upside potential. Production remains well below historical peaks above 3 million barrels per day, with forecasts pointing to gradual recovery toward 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end contingent on further contract reforms and investment commitments. Key near-term catalysts include additional OFAC authorizations and quarterly output data that could influence market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
거래량
$110,904종료일
2027.02.28마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan crude oil output has stabilized near 1.1 million barrels per day in early 2026 after rebounding from storage-driven shut-ins in late 2025. Expanded U.S. Treasury licenses and sanctions relief have enabled PDVSA and partners like Chevron to restart idle wells, redeploy rigs, and clear export backlogs, supporting modest month-on-month gains. Structural constraints including aging infrastructure, limited diluent supply, and the need for sustained foreign capital inflows continue to cap upside potential. Production remains well below historical peaks above 3 million barrels per day, with forecasts pointing to gradual recovery toward 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end contingent on further contract reforms and investment commitments. Key near-term catalysts include additional OFAC authorizations and quarterly output data that could influence market-implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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