Incumbent Republican Gov. Mark Gordon's April announcement declining a third consecutive term opened Wyoming's 2026 gubernatorial race to a competitive GOP primary among State Sen. Eric Barlow, retired Marine Col. Brent Bien, and Supt. Megan Degenfelder—who holds endorsements from Donald Trump and Rep. Harriet Hageman—while Democrats nominate nonprofit worker Gabriel Green. Wyoming's 23-year Republican trifecta, no Democratic statewide win since 2006, and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underpin trader consensus at 95% for a GOP victory, reflecting the party's structural advantages in this deep-red state. Barring a GOP nominee scandal, polarizing primary outcome, or unforeseen national wave, the general election on November 3 appears uncompetitive, ahead of the August 18 primaries and May 29 filing deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
Republican
95%

Democrat
4%

Republican
95%

Democrat
4%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Mark Gordon's April announcement declining a third consecutive term opened Wyoming's 2026 gubernatorial race to a competitive GOP primary among State Sen. Eric Barlow, retired Marine Col. Brent Bien, and Supt. Megan Degenfelder—who holds endorsements from Donald Trump and Rep. Harriet Hageman—while Democrats nominate nonprofit worker Gabriel Green. Wyoming's 23-year Republican trifecta, no Democratic statewide win since 2006, and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underpin trader consensus at 95% for a GOP victory, reflecting the party's structural advantages in this deep-red state. Barring a GOP nominee scandal, polarizing primary outcome, or unforeseen national wave, the general election on November 3 appears uncompetitive, ahead of the August 18 primaries and May 29 filing deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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