Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion and credible reports of a targeted $2 trillion Nasdaq IPO have driven trader consensus toward the 1.8T+ bracket at 81.5% implied probability. The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026, with projections for $100–120 billion by year-end, supporting gross margins above 80% and a second consecutive profitable quarter. A confidential S-1 filed in June, combined with September updates on an October roadshow and potential inclusion in the Nasdaq 100, has reinforced expectations of a first-day close well above the $965 billion May private valuation. While timelines can slip and public-market reception remains untested, the combination of demonstrated growth, major underwriter involvement, and benchmark-setting precedents like SpaceX’s listing sustains the strong market-implied odds for an outsized debut.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.8T+ 82%
1.5–1.8T 8.3%
1.2–1.5T 5.2%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.9%
$436,634 Wol.
$436,634 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
5%
1.5–1.8T
8%
1.8T+
82%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
1.8T+ 82%
1.5–1.8T 8.3%
1.2–1.5T 5.2%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.9%
$436,634 Wol.
$436,634 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
$22,407 Wol.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$27,023 Wol.
1%
0.9–1.2T
$27,276 Wol.
1%
1.2–1.5T
$34,870 Wol.
5%
1.5–1.8T
$52,782 Wol.
8%
1.8T+
$218,630 Wol.
82%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$53,646 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion and credible reports of a targeted $2 trillion Nasdaq IPO have driven trader consensus toward the 1.8T+ bracket at 81.5% implied probability. The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026, with projections for $100–120 billion by year-end, supporting gross margins above 80% and a second consecutive profitable quarter. A confidential S-1 filed in June, combined with September updates on an October roadshow and potential inclusion in the Nasdaq 100, has reinforced expectations of a first-day close well above the $965 billion May private valuation. While timelines can slip and public-market reception remains untested, the combination of demonstrated growth, major underwriter involvement, and benchmark-setting precedents like SpaceX’s listing sustains the strong market-implied odds for an outsized debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$436,634Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion and credible reports of a targeted $2 trillion Nasdaq IPO have driven trader consensus toward the 1.8T+ bracket at 81.5% implied probability. The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026, with projections for $100–120 billion by year-end, supporting gross margins above 80% and a second consecutive profitable quarter. A confidential S-1 filed in June, combined with September updates on an October roadshow and potential inclusion in the Nasdaq 100, has reinforced expectations of a first-day close well above the $965 billion May private valuation. While timelines can slip and public-market reception remains untested, the combination of demonstrated growth, major underwriter involvement, and benchmark-setting precedents like SpaceX’s listing sustains the strong market-implied odds for an outsized debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$436,634Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion and credible reports of a targeted $2 trillion Nasdaq IPO have driven trader consensus toward the 1.8T+ bracket at 81.5% implied probability. The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026, with projections for $100–120 billion by year-end, supporting gross margins above 80% and a second consecutive profitable quarter. A confidential S-1 filed in June, combined with September updates on an October roadshow and potential inclusion in the Nasdaq 100, has reinforced expectations of a first-day close well above the $965 billion May private valuation. While timelines can slip and public-market reception remains untested, the combination of demonstrated growth, major underwriter involvement, and benchmark-setting precedents like SpaceX’s listing sustains the strong market-implied odds for an outsized debut.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania