Arizona's 3rd congressional district, centered on downtown and western Phoenix with a majority-Latino population, carries a D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari advanced unopposed through the July 2026 primary, while Republican efforts yielded only write-in or minor candidates with negligible fundraising and organization. These structural factors, including the district's voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. A meaningful shift would require an unusually strong Republican nominee or national political realignment capable of overcoming the established partisan baseline before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-03 House Election Winner
AZ-03 House Election Winner
$50,632 Wol.
$50,632 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$50,632 Wol.
$50,632 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$31,713 Wol.
98%
Republican Party
$18,919 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district, centered on downtown and western Phoenix with a majority-Latino population, carries a D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari advanced unopposed through the July 2026 primary, while Republican efforts yielded only write-in or minor candidates with negligible fundraising and organization. These structural factors, including the district's voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. A meaningful shift would require an unusually strong Republican nominee or national political realignment capable of overcoming the established partisan baseline before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,632Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district, centered on downtown and western Phoenix with a majority-Latino population, carries a D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari advanced unopposed through the July 2026 primary, while Republican efforts yielded only write-in or minor candidates with negligible fundraising and organization. These structural factors, including the district's voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. A meaningful shift would require an unusually strong Republican nominee or national political realignment capable of overcoming the established partisan baseline before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$50,632Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district, centered on downtown and western Phoenix with a majority-Latino population, carries a D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari advanced unopposed through the July 2026 primary, while Republican efforts yielded only write-in or minor candidates with negligible fundraising and organization. These structural factors, including the district's voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. A meaningful shift would require an unusually strong Republican nominee or national political realignment capable of overcoming the established partisan baseline before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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