Recent hawkish signals from Bank of Korea officials have anchored the 75.5% market-implied probability of no change at the July 2026 policy meeting, with an increase at 21.5% and a cut at just 1.5%. Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai’s early May remarks highlighted that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0% while inflation is tracking above the prior 2.2% forecast, prompting a shift toward considering rate hikes after seven consecutive holds at the 2.50% base rate. April’s unanimous decision to stay put amid Middle East geopolitical risks and rising oil-driven price pressures has kept traders focused on data-dependent guidance, with the May 28 meeting viewed as the next potential inflection point for forward-looking language. Stronger-than-expected semiconductor exports continue to support activity, tempering downside growth risks while inflation remains the dominant swing factor.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
No Change 68%
Increase 32%
Decrease 1.5%
$13,396 Wol.
$13,396 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
Decrease
1%
No Change
68%
Increase
32%
No Change 68%
Increase 32%
Decrease 1.5%
$13,396 Wol.
$13,396 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
Decrease
$8,878 Wol.
1%
No Change
$1,666 Wol.
68%
Increase
$2,853 Wol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hawkish signals from Bank of Korea officials have anchored the 75.5% market-implied probability of no change at the July 2026 policy meeting, with an increase at 21.5% and a cut at just 1.5%. Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai’s early May remarks highlighted that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0% while inflation is tracking above the prior 2.2% forecast, prompting a shift toward considering rate hikes after seven consecutive holds at the 2.50% base rate. April’s unanimous decision to stay put amid Middle East geopolitical risks and rising oil-driven price pressures has kept traders focused on data-dependent guidance, with the May 28 meeting viewed as the next potential inflection point for forward-looking language. Stronger-than-expected semiconductor exports continue to support activity, tempering downside growth risks while inflation remains the dominant swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,396Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hawkish signals from Bank of Korea officials have anchored the 75.5% market-implied probability of no change at the July 2026 policy meeting, with an increase at 21.5% and a cut at just 1.5%. Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai’s early May remarks highlighted that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0% while inflation is tracking above the prior 2.2% forecast, prompting a shift toward considering rate hikes after seven consecutive holds at the 2.50% base rate. April’s unanimous decision to stay put amid Middle East geopolitical risks and rising oil-driven price pressures has kept traders focused on data-dependent guidance, with the May 28 meeting viewed as the next potential inflection point for forward-looking language. Stronger-than-expected semiconductor exports continue to support activity, tempering downside growth risks while inflation remains the dominant swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Wolumen
$13,396Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish signals from Bank of Korea officials have anchored the 75.5% market-implied probability of no change at the July 2026 policy meeting, with an increase at 21.5% and a cut at just 1.5%. Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai’s early May remarks highlighted that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0% while inflation is tracking above the prior 2.2% forecast, prompting a shift toward considering rate hikes after seven consecutive holds at the 2.50% base rate. April’s unanimous decision to stay put amid Middle East geopolitical risks and rising oil-driven price pressures has kept traders focused on data-dependent guidance, with the May 28 meeting viewed as the next potential inflection point for forward-looking language. Stronger-than-expected semiconductor exports continue to support activity, tempering downside growth risks while inflation remains the dominant swing factor.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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