The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April hold at the 2.50% base rate amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced risks to growth versus inflation underpins the 97.7% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers continue to monitor higher oil prices lifting April CPI to 2.6% year-over-year—above the 2% target yet aligned with prior projections—while first-quarter GDP growth holds near 1.7% on semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish remarks from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai signaling a potential shift toward considering rate hikes have not altered trader consensus, reflecting the institution’s data-dependent stance and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of an increase before the next policy meeting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 97.6%
Increase 2.0%
Decrease <1%
$102,519 Wol.
$102,519 Wol.
Decrease
<1%
No Change
98%
Increase
2%
No Change 97.6%
Increase 2.0%
Decrease <1%
$102,519 Wol.
$102,519 Wol.
Decrease
<1%
No Change
98%
Increase
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April hold at the 2.50% base rate amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced risks to growth versus inflation underpins the 97.7% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers continue to monitor higher oil prices lifting April CPI to 2.6% year-over-year—above the 2% target yet aligned with prior projections—while first-quarter GDP growth holds near 1.7% on semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish remarks from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai signaling a potential shift toward considering rate hikes have not altered trader consensus, reflecting the institution’s data-dependent stance and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of an increase before the next policy meeting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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