Brazil's central bank has maintained a data-dependent easing bias following consecutive 25-basis-point Selic cuts to 14.50% in April, positioning a further reduction at the June Copom meeting as the market-implied consensus with a 76.0% probability. Persistent moderation in GDP growth and a still-restrictive real policy rate support continued calibration toward the 3% inflation target, even as 2026 expectations hover near 4.9% amid elevated oil-price risks from Middle East tensions. The committee's April minutes emphasized upside inflation surprises and the need for incoming data, including the full April IPCA release, to guide the pace of any additional easing before the mid-June decision.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of Brazil Decision in June?
Decrease 76%
No Change 23.4%
Increase <1%
$140,225 Wol.
$140,225 Wol.
Increase
1%
No Change
23%
Decrease
76%
Decrease 76%
No Change 23.4%
Increase <1%
$140,225 Wol.
$140,225 Wol.
Increase
1%
No Change
23%
Decrease
76%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil's central bank has maintained a data-dependent easing bias following consecutive 25-basis-point Selic cuts to 14.50% in April, positioning a further reduction at the June Copom meeting as the market-implied consensus with a 76.0% probability. Persistent moderation in GDP growth and a still-restrictive real policy rate support continued calibration toward the 3% inflation target, even as 2026 expectations hover near 4.9% amid elevated oil-price risks from Middle East tensions. The committee's April minutes emphasized upside inflation surprises and the need for incoming data, including the full April IPCA release, to guide the pace of any additional easing before the mid-June decision.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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