Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise, above consensus and driven by elevated energy and semiconductor costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, has lifted market-implied odds for China's full-year 2026 inflation settling in the 1.1–1.5% band. Weak domestic demand, subdued consumer spending, and ongoing property-sector headwinds continue to anchor the broader trajectory below Beijing's 2% target, though fiscal stimulus and anti-overcapacity measures are supporting a gradual reflation path. With producer prices also firming and core inflation holding near 1.2%, traders are pricing in modest upside risks without expecting a sharp acceleration, consistent with consensus forecasts ranging from 0.4% to 1.2% for the annual average.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
1.1 – 1.5% 50%
1.6 – 2.0% 42.8%
0.6 – 1.0% 22%
2.0-2.4% 13.4%
$40,817 Wol.
$40,817 Wol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
3%
0.6 – 1.0%
22%
1.1 – 1.5%
42%
1.6 – 2.0%
24%
2.0-2.4%
9%
2.5%+
5%
1.1 – 1.5% 50%
1.6 – 2.0% 42.8%
0.6 – 1.0% 22%
2.0-2.4% 13.4%
$40,817 Wol.
$40,817 Wol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$17,491 Wol.
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,347 Wol.
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$2,564 Wol.
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,852 Wol.
3%
0.6 – 1.0%
$2,956 Wol.
22%
1.1 – 1.5%
$3,491 Wol.
42%
1.6 – 2.0%
$3,995 Wol.
24%
2.0-2.4%
$2,580 Wol.
9%
2.5%+
$2,542 Wol.
5%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise, above consensus and driven by elevated energy and semiconductor costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, has lifted market-implied odds for China's full-year 2026 inflation settling in the 1.1–1.5% band. Weak domestic demand, subdued consumer spending, and ongoing property-sector headwinds continue to anchor the broader trajectory below Beijing's 2% target, though fiscal stimulus and anti-overcapacity measures are supporting a gradual reflation path. With producer prices also firming and core inflation holding near 1.2%, traders are pricing in modest upside risks without expecting a sharp acceleration, consistent with consensus forecasts ranging from 0.4% to 1.2% for the annual average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$40,817Data zakończenia
Jan 10, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise, above consensus and driven by elevated energy and semiconductor costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, has lifted market-implied odds for China's full-year 2026 inflation settling in the 1.1–1.5% band. Weak domestic demand, subdued consumer spending, and ongoing property-sector headwinds continue to anchor the broader trajectory below Beijing's 2% target, though fiscal stimulus and anti-overcapacity measures are supporting a gradual reflation path. With producer prices also firming and core inflation holding near 1.2%, traders are pricing in modest upside risks without expecting a sharp acceleration, consistent with consensus forecasts ranging from 0.4% to 1.2% for the annual average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Wolumen
$40,817Data zakończenia
Jan 10, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise, above consensus and driven by elevated energy and semiconductor costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, has lifted market-implied odds for China's full-year 2026 inflation settling in the 1.1–1.5% band. Weak domestic demand, subdued consumer spending, and ongoing property-sector headwinds continue to anchor the broader trajectory below Beijing's 2% target, though fiscal stimulus and anti-overcapacity measures are supporting a gradual reflation path. With producer prices also firming and core inflation holding near 1.2%, traders are pricing in modest upside risks without expecting a sharp acceleration, consistent with consensus forecasts ranging from 0.4% to 1.2% for the annual average.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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