Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31, per Bloomberg Billionaires Index methodology, reflecting recent Tesla share price recovery from $389 in early May to $443 as of May 15 amid Q1 2026 earnings beats on EPS ($0.41 vs. $0.36 expected) and revenue. This rally, boosting Musk's ~11-12% Tesla stake plus options (key wealth driver at ~$200-250 billion), offsets prior dips and supports the leading outcome, with secondary buckets clustering around $670-690 billion. Stable SpaceX-xAI combined valuation (~$1.03 trillion post-February merger, Musk ~44% stake) provides a floor, though private discounts introduce uncertainty. With resolution in two weeks, traders eye Tesla volatility and any secondary sales as swing factors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoElon Musk Net Worth on May 31?
Elon Musk Net Worth on May 31?
690b+ 65%
670-680b 14%
680-690b 14%
660-670b 8%
$19,512 Wol.
$19,512 Wol.
<610b
<1%
610-620b
3%
620-630b
4%
630-640b
3%
640-650b
3%
650-660b
5%
660-670b
8%
670-680b
14%
680-690b
14%
690b+
55%
690b+ 65%
670-680b 14%
680-690b 14%
660-670b 8%
$19,512 Wol.
$19,512 Wol.
<610b
<1%
610-620b
3%
620-630b
4%
630-640b
3%
640-650b
3%
650-660b
5%
660-670b
8%
670-680b
14%
680-690b
14%
690b+
55%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31, per Bloomberg Billionaires Index methodology, reflecting recent Tesla share price recovery from $389 in early May to $443 as of May 15 amid Q1 2026 earnings beats on EPS ($0.41 vs. $0.36 expected) and revenue. This rally, boosting Musk's ~11-12% Tesla stake plus options (key wealth driver at ~$200-250 billion), offsets prior dips and supports the leading outcome, with secondary buckets clustering around $670-690 billion. Stable SpaceX-xAI combined valuation (~$1.03 trillion post-February merger, Musk ~44% stake) provides a floor, though private discounts introduce uncertainty. With resolution in two weeks, traders eye Tesla volatility and any secondary sales as swing factors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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