Elon Musk's historical posting cadence on X, often averaging 15-25 tweets daily amid ongoing platform engagement and product updates, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 range for the three-day window. Recent activity, including multiple replies and promotions tied to Grok Imagine enhancements and broader X discourse in early August, reinforces this elevated but not extreme volume without major external catalysts like product launches or controversies expected to spike or suppress output. The closely contested 65-89 bucket reflects occasional spikes during high-engagement periods, while lower ranges account for typical weekend moderation and higher ones for outlier days. No confirmed schedule shifts or events through mid-August alter the current market-implied odds significantly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano40-64 51%
65-89 24%
<40 17%
90-114 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
<40
17%
40-64
51%
65-89
24%
90-114
6%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 51%
65-89 24%
<40 17%
90-114 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
<40
$17 Wol.
17%
40-64
$82 Wol.
51%
65-89
$1,037 Wol.
24%
90-114
$189 Wol.
6%
115-139
$60 Wol.
2%
140-164
$562 Wol.
<1%
165-189
$577 Wol.
<1%
190-214
$109 Wol.
<1%
215-239
$106 Wol.
<1%
240+
$338 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's historical posting cadence on X, often averaging 15-25 tweets daily amid ongoing platform engagement and product updates, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 range for the three-day window. Recent activity, including multiple replies and promotions tied to Grok Imagine enhancements and broader X discourse in early August, reinforces this elevated but not extreme volume without major external catalysts like product launches or controversies expected to spike or suppress output. The closely contested 65-89 bucket reflects occasional spikes during high-engagement periods, while lower ranges account for typical weekend moderation and higher ones for outlier days. No confirmed schedule shifts or events through mid-August alter the current market-implied odds significantly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,076Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's historical posting cadence on X, often averaging 15-25 tweets daily amid ongoing platform engagement and product updates, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 range for the three-day window. Recent activity, including multiple replies and promotions tied to Grok Imagine enhancements and broader X discourse in early August, reinforces this elevated but not extreme volume without major external catalysts like product launches or controversies expected to spike or suppress output. The closely contested 65-89 bucket reflects occasional spikes during high-engagement periods, while lower ranges account for typical weekend moderation and higher ones for outlier days. No confirmed schedule shifts or events through mid-August alter the current market-implied odds significantly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$3,076Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's historical posting cadence on X, often averaging 15-25 tweets daily amid ongoing platform engagement and product updates, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 range for the three-day window. Recent activity, including multiple replies and promotions tied to Grok Imagine enhancements and broader X discourse in early August, reinforces this elevated but not extreme volume without major external catalysts like product launches or controversies expected to spike or suppress output. The closely contested 65-89 bucket reflects occasional spikes during high-engagement periods, while lower ranges account for typical weekend moderation and higher ones for outlier days. No confirmed schedule shifts or events through mid-August alter the current market-implied odds significantly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania