Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending federal funding at FY2026 levels through December 11. This bipartisan measure, cleared by the House 370-48 after Senate passage, directly supplies appropriations authority for all 12 regular bills starting October 1 and removes any lapse risk for the new fiscal year. Both parties prioritized the step to prevent disruptions ahead of November midterms following repeated funding gaps in 2025 and 2026. With statutory authority already in place, trader consensus at 98.9% for no lapse reflects the completed legislative action. Only an unforeseen court invalidation or subsequent congressional reversal before October 1 could alter the outcome, though neither appears under active consideration.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFederal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?
1% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 1, 2026
1% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending federal funding at FY2026 levels through December 11. This bipartisan measure, cleared by the House 370-48 after Senate passage, directly supplies appropriations authority for all 12 regular bills starting October 1 and removes any lapse risk for the new fiscal year. Both parties prioritized the step to prevent disruptions ahead of November midterms following repeated funding gaps in 2025 and 2026. With statutory authority already in place, trader consensus at 98.9% for no lapse reflects the completed legislative action. Only an unforeseen court invalidation or subsequent congressional reversal before October 1 could alter the outcome, though neither appears under active consideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,191Data zakończenia
Oct 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending federal funding at FY2026 levels through December 11. This bipartisan measure, cleared by the House 370-48 after Senate passage, directly supplies appropriations authority for all 12 regular bills starting October 1 and removes any lapse risk for the new fiscal year. Both parties prioritized the step to prevent disruptions ahead of November midterms following repeated funding gaps in 2025 and 2026. With statutory authority already in place, trader consensus at 98.9% for no lapse reflects the completed legislative action. Only an unforeseen court invalidation or subsequent congressional reversal before October 1 could alter the outcome, though neither appears under active consideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$3,191Data zakończenia
Oct 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending federal funding at FY2026 levels through December 11. This bipartisan measure, cleared by the House 370-48 after Senate passage, directly supplies appropriations authority for all 12 regular bills starting October 1 and removes any lapse risk for the new fiscal year. Both parties prioritized the step to prevent disruptions ahead of November midterms following repeated funding gaps in 2025 and 2026. With statutory authority already in place, trader consensus at 98.9% for no lapse reflects the completed legislative action. Only an unforeseen court invalidation or subsequent congressional reversal before October 1 could alter the outcome, though neither appears under active consideration.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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