National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 13 point to a high near 79°F under mostly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms likely after midday, a setup that favors peak readings in the mid-to-upper 70s over seasonal normals near 83°F. Model consensus and recent guidance emphasize cloud cover and precipitation as key moderators of daytime heating, aligning trader consensus with the 76-79°F bins that hold over 65% implied probability. Updated runs show limited potential for clearing or stronger southerly flow that could push readings into the low 80s, while cooler scenarios remain low-probability given current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 13?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 13?
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 27%
74-75°F 21%
80-81°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 27%
74-75°F 21%
80-81°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
67°F or below
$779 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$44 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$194 Wol.
2%
72-73°F
$141 Wol.
4%
74-75°F
$163 Wol.
21%
76-77°F
$52 Wol.
40%
78-79°F
$105 Wol.
27%
80-81°F
$293 Wol.
9%
82-83°F
$77 Wol.
3%
84-85°F
$58 Wol.
2%
86°F or higher
$1,048 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 13 point to a high near 79°F under mostly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms likely after midday, a setup that favors peak readings in the mid-to-upper 70s over seasonal normals near 83°F. Model consensus and recent guidance emphasize cloud cover and precipitation as key moderators of daytime heating, aligning trader consensus with the 76-79°F bins that hold over 65% implied probability. Updated runs show limited potential for clearing or stronger southerly flow that could push readings into the low 80s, while cooler scenarios remain low-probability given current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,954Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 13 point to a high near 79°F under mostly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms likely after midday, a setup that favors peak readings in the mid-to-upper 70s over seasonal normals near 83°F. Model consensus and recent guidance emphasize cloud cover and precipitation as key moderators of daytime heating, aligning trader consensus with the 76-79°F bins that hold over 65% implied probability. Updated runs show limited potential for clearing or stronger southerly flow that could push readings into the low 80s, while cooler scenarios remain low-probability given current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,954Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 13 point to a high near 79°F under mostly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms likely after midday, a setup that favors peak readings in the mid-to-upper 70s over seasonal normals near 83°F. Model consensus and recent guidance emphasize cloud cover and precipitation as key moderators of daytime heating, aligning trader consensus with the 76-79°F bins that hold over 65% implied probability. Updated runs show limited potential for clearing or stronger southerly flow that could push readings into the low 80s, while cooler scenarios remain low-probability given current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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