Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 13 point to sunny periods with isolated showers and a maximum of 29–34°C, establishing the primary driver behind the near-even market split between 33°C (44.5%) and 34°C (38.5%). Recent subsidence warming associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has sustained extreme heat near 37°C, keeping traders attentive to the upper end of the range amid typical midsummer humidity and urban heat retention. Model guidance shows minor divergence on afternoon cloud timing and shower coverage that could cap or allow brief peaks near 34°C, while the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides broader context. Updated HKO briefings and any new model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
34°C 45%
33°C 44%
32°C 10%
35°C 5%
NOWE
$31,290 Wol.
NOWE
$31,290 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
44%
34°C
45%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
33°C 44%
32°C 10%
35°C 5%
NOWE
$31,290 Wol.
NOWE
$31,290 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$413 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$949 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,024 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$3,377 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$5,048 Wol.
1%
32°C
$4,686 Wol.
10%
33°C
$5,372 Wol.
44%
34°C
$4,023 Wol.
45%
35°C
$3,138 Wol.
5%
36°C
$1,529 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,731 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 13 point to sunny periods with isolated showers and a maximum of 29–34°C, establishing the primary driver behind the near-even market split between 33°C (44.5%) and 34°C (38.5%). Recent subsidence warming associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has sustained extreme heat near 37°C, keeping traders attentive to the upper end of the range amid typical midsummer humidity and urban heat retention. Model guidance shows minor divergence on afternoon cloud timing and shower coverage that could cap or allow brief peaks near 34°C, while the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides broader context. Updated HKO briefings and any new model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$31,290Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 13 point to sunny periods with isolated showers and a maximum of 29–34°C, establishing the primary driver behind the near-even market split between 33°C (44.5%) and 34°C (38.5%). Recent subsidence warming associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has sustained extreme heat near 37°C, keeping traders attentive to the upper end of the range amid typical midsummer humidity and urban heat retention. Model guidance shows minor divergence on afternoon cloud timing and shower coverage that could cap or allow brief peaks near 34°C, while the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides broader context. Updated HKO briefings and any new model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$31,290Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 13 point to sunny periods with isolated showers and a maximum of 29–34°C, establishing the primary driver behind the near-even market split between 33°C (44.5%) and 34°C (38.5%). Recent subsidence warming associated with Tropical Cyclone Dolphin has sustained extreme heat near 37°C, keeping traders attentive to the upper end of the range amid typical midsummer humidity and urban heat retention. Model guidance shows minor divergence on afternoon cloud timing and shower coverage that could cap or allow brief peaks near 34°C, while the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides broader context. Updated HKO briefings and any new model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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