Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 16–18°C in Munich on September 22, driven by northwest winds and a stable high-pressure system advecting cooler maritime air after a warmer weekend. Partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation are expected, limiting daytime heating while allowing radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the seasonal decline in insolation and places the projected maximum near or slightly below the 1991–2020 average high of 18.8°C for the date. Trader consensus, with 17°C at 49.5% implied probability, reflects agreement across short-range guidance on these values, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Updated runs from agencies like DWD will refine resolution criteria as the date approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 22?
17°C 50%
16°C 28%
18°C 20%
15°C 4%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
28%
17°C
50%
18°C
20%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 50%
16°C 28%
18°C 20%
15°C 4%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
28%
17°C
50%
18°C
20%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 16–18°C in Munich on September 22, driven by northwest winds and a stable high-pressure system advecting cooler maritime air after a warmer weekend. Partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation are expected, limiting daytime heating while allowing radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the seasonal decline in insolation and places the projected maximum near or slightly below the 1991–2020 average high of 18.8°C for the date. Trader consensus, with 17°C at 49.5% implied probability, reflects agreement across short-range guidance on these values, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Updated runs from agencies like DWD will refine resolution criteria as the date approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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