Recent National Weather Service and CBS forecasts for Central Park, the primary resolution station, point to a high near 82°F on August 2 under mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of showers, consistent with the market's leading 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins. This aligns with the 1991-2020 August average high of 83°F while reflecting modest cooling from increased cloud cover and southeasterly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Broader seasonal context includes a Climate Prediction Center outlook favoring above-average temperatures for the month, though short-term model consensus has converged on mid-80s or lower values rather than stronger heat. Traders appear to weight official guidance heavily given the proximity to resolution and limited model spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on August 2?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 2?
82-83°F 43%
84-85°F 29%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 43%
84-85°F 29%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
71°F or below
$128 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$88 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$189 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$104 Wol.
1%
78-79°F
$84 Wol.
5%
80-81°F
$274 Wol.
19%
82-83°F
$581 Wol.
43%
84-85°F
$543 Wol.
29%
86-87°F
$646 Wol.
3%
88-89°F
$238 Wol.
2%
90°F or higher
$83 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and CBS forecasts for Central Park, the primary resolution station, point to a high near 82°F on August 2 under mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of showers, consistent with the market's leading 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins. This aligns with the 1991-2020 August average high of 83°F while reflecting modest cooling from increased cloud cover and southeasterly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Broader seasonal context includes a Climate Prediction Center outlook favoring above-average temperatures for the month, though short-term model consensus has converged on mid-80s or lower values rather than stronger heat. Traders appear to weight official guidance heavily given the proximity to resolution and limited model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,833Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and CBS forecasts for Central Park, the primary resolution station, point to a high near 82°F on August 2 under mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of showers, consistent with the market's leading 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins. This aligns with the 1991-2020 August average high of 83°F while reflecting modest cooling from increased cloud cover and southeasterly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Broader seasonal context includes a Climate Prediction Center outlook favoring above-average temperatures for the month, though short-term model consensus has converged on mid-80s or lower values rather than stronger heat. Traders appear to weight official guidance heavily given the proximity to resolution and limited model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,833Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and CBS forecasts for Central Park, the primary resolution station, point to a high near 82°F on August 2 under mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of showers, consistent with the market's leading 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins. This aligns with the 1991-2020 August average high of 83°F while reflecting modest cooling from increased cloud cover and southeasterly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Broader seasonal context includes a Climate Prediction Center outlook favoring above-average temperatures for the month, though short-term model consensus has converged on mid-80s or lower values rather than stronger heat. Traders appear to weight official guidance heavily given the proximity to resolution and limited model spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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