The Senate's 54-45 confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 13 reflects trader certainty on the exact vote tally, driven by the Republican majority's unified support—all 53 GOP senators voted yes—augmented by Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman's sole crossover amid economic pressures favoring Trump's nominee. This followed the Banking Committee's party-line advancement last week, with minimal holds despite Democratic criticism over Fed independence. One senator's absence kept the total at 99 votes. Post-confirmation, procedural finality and historical precedent for swift Fed chair approvals leave scant room for challenges like recounts or disqualifications, cementing the 54 outcome as commanding trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano54 100.0%
≤49 <1%
50 <1%
51 <1%
$242,080 Wol.
$242,080 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
≤49
No
50
No
51
No
52
No
53
No
54
Yes
55
No
56
No
57
No
58
No
59
No
60+
No
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
No
54 100.0%
≤49 <1%
50 <1%
51 <1%
$242,080 Wol.
$242,080 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
≤49
$55,971 Wol.
No
50
$14,246 Wol.
No
51
$16,371 Wol.
No
52
$10,336 Wol.
No
53
$4,782 Wol.
No
54
$6,801 Wol.
Yes
55
$10,910 Wol.
No
56
$20,049 Wol.
No
57
$13,784 Wol.
No
58
$15,619 Wol.
No
59
$15,777 Wol.
No
60+
$47,838 Wol.
No
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
$9,597 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate's 54-45 confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 13 reflects trader certainty on the exact vote tally, driven by the Republican majority's unified support—all 53 GOP senators voted yes—augmented by Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman's sole crossover amid economic pressures favoring Trump's nominee. This followed the Banking Committee's party-line advancement last week, with minimal holds despite Democratic criticism over Fed independence. One senator's absence kept the total at 99 votes. Post-confirmation, procedural finality and historical precedent for swift Fed chair approvals leave scant room for challenges like recounts or disqualifications, cementing the 54 outcome as commanding trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 13, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$242,080Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 13, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate's 54-45 confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 13 reflects trader certainty on the exact vote tally, driven by the Republican majority's unified support—all 53 GOP senators voted yes—augmented by Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman's sole crossover amid economic pressures favoring Trump's nominee. This followed the Banking Committee's party-line advancement last week, with minimal holds despite Democratic criticism over Fed independence. One senator's absence kept the total at 99 votes. Post-confirmation, procedural finality and historical precedent for swift Fed chair approvals leave scant room for challenges like recounts or disqualifications, cementing the 54 outcome as commanding trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$242,080Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 13, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The Senate's 54-45 confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 13 reflects trader certainty on the exact vote tally, driven by the Republican majority's unified support—all 53 GOP senators voted yes—augmented by Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman's sole crossover amid economic pressures favoring Trump's nominee. This followed the Banking Committee's party-line advancement last week, with minimal holds despite Democratic criticism over Fed independence. One senator's absence kept the total at 99 votes. Post-confirmation, procedural finality and historical precedent for swift Fed chair approvals leave scant room for challenges like recounts or disqualifications, cementing the 54 outcome as commanding trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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