Democratic incumbent Bill Foster’s long tenure and the district’s consistent partisan lean anchor the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Foster secured renomination without serious opposition in the March 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee emerged from a fragmented field that drew limited resources. The seat’s partisan voting index and suburban Chicago electorate have produced double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican recruitment and fundraising. Traders price in these structural advantages, viewing an upset as dependent on an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major personal scandal or an unusually strong national Republican wave that fails to materialize in comparable districts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-11 House Election Winner
IL-11 House Election Winner
$37,449 Wol.
$37,449 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$37,449 Wol.
$37,449 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,396 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$18,053 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Bill Foster’s long tenure and the district’s consistent partisan lean anchor the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Foster secured renomination without serious opposition in the March 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee emerged from a fragmented field that drew limited resources. The seat’s partisan voting index and suburban Chicago electorate have produced double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican recruitment and fundraising. Traders price in these structural advantages, viewing an upset as dependent on an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major personal scandal or an unusually strong national Republican wave that fails to materialize in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$37,449Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Bill Foster’s long tenure and the district’s consistent partisan lean anchor the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Foster secured renomination without serious opposition in the March 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee emerged from a fragmented field that drew limited resources. The seat’s partisan voting index and suburban Chicago electorate have produced double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican recruitment and fundraising. Traders price in these structural advantages, viewing an upset as dependent on an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major personal scandal or an unusually strong national Republican wave that fails to materialize in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$37,449Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Bill Foster’s long tenure and the district’s consistent partisan lean anchor the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Foster secured renomination without serious opposition in the March 2026 primary, while the Republican nominee emerged from a fragmented field that drew limited resources. The seat’s partisan voting index and suburban Chicago electorate have produced double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican recruitment and fundraising. Traders price in these structural advantages, viewing an upset as dependent on an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major personal scandal or an unusually strong national Republican wave that fails to materialize in comparable districts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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