Recent polling averages place Likud in the low-to-mid 20s as it faces competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and broader voter fatigue with the incumbent coalition amid persistent security challenges and internal party tensions ahead of the October 27 vote. Likud’s primary process, including Netanyahu’s expanded control over slate positions, and recent surveys showing the party trailing or tied with rivals contribute to trader consensus reflected in the tight probabilities between the 20-24 and 25-29 seat ranges. Key variables that could shift outcomes include coalition partner performance, opposition alliances, or late developments in West Bank operations and ultra-Orthodox draft policies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 16%
$99,080 Wol.
$99,080 Wol.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
19%
20-24
33%
25-29
35%
30-34
16%
35+
4%
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 16%
$99,080 Wol.
$99,080 Wol.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
$33,017 Wol.
19%
20-24
$15,417 Wol.
33%
25-29
$24,072 Wol.
35%
30-34
$18,387 Wol.
16%
35+
$8,186 Wol.
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud in the low-to-mid 20s as it faces competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and broader voter fatigue with the incumbent coalition amid persistent security challenges and internal party tensions ahead of the October 27 vote. Likud’s primary process, including Netanyahu’s expanded control over slate positions, and recent surveys showing the party trailing or tied with rivals contribute to trader consensus reflected in the tight probabilities between the 20-24 and 25-29 seat ranges. Key variables that could shift outcomes include coalition partner performance, opposition alliances, or late developments in West Bank operations and ultra-Orthodox draft policies.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$99,080Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud in the low-to-mid 20s as it faces competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and broader voter fatigue with the incumbent coalition amid persistent security challenges and internal party tensions ahead of the October 27 vote. Likud’s primary process, including Netanyahu’s expanded control over slate positions, and recent surveys showing the party trailing or tied with rivals contribute to trader consensus reflected in the tight probabilities between the 20-24 and 25-29 seat ranges. Key variables that could shift outcomes include coalition partner performance, opposition alliances, or late developments in West Bank operations and ultra-Orthodox draft policies.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$99,080Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Likud in the low-to-mid 20s as it faces competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and broader voter fatigue with the incumbent coalition amid persistent security challenges and internal party tensions ahead of the October 27 vote. Likud’s primary process, including Netanyahu’s expanded control over slate positions, and recent surveys showing the party trailing or tied with rivals contribute to trader consensus reflected in the tight probabilities between the 20-24 and 25-29 seat ranges. Key variables that could shift outcomes include coalition partner performance, opposition alliances, or late developments in West Bank operations and ultra-Orthodox draft policies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania