Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected in a narrow 21–27 seat range, reflecting volatility between the party and emerging opposition alliances such as the Bennett-Lapid union and Eisenkot's Yashar. Declines from Likud's current 32 seats stem from sustained security challenges after October 2023, judicial reform fallout, and coalition strains, while opposition blocs hover near or above 60 seats in several surveys. This keeps the 20–24 and 25–29 outcomes closely matched at roughly one-third each, with separation likely hinging on late campaign shifts in turnout among religious-right voters, security-focused centrists, or ultra-Orthodox draft debates. Trader consensus prices these bands highest due to the limited historical precedent for sharp last-minute swings in such fragmented multi-party contests.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 16%
$99,080 Wol.
$99,080 Wol.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
19%
20-24
33%
25-29
35%
30-34
16%
35+
4%
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 16%
$99,080 Wol.
$99,080 Wol.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
$33,017 Wol.
19%
20-24
$15,417 Wol.
33%
25-29
$24,072 Wol.
35%
30-34
$18,387 Wol.
16%
35+
$8,186 Wol.
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected in a narrow 21–27 seat range, reflecting volatility between the party and emerging opposition alliances such as the Bennett-Lapid union and Eisenkot's Yashar. Declines from Likud's current 32 seats stem from sustained security challenges after October 2023, judicial reform fallout, and coalition strains, while opposition blocs hover near or above 60 seats in several surveys. This keeps the 20–24 and 25–29 outcomes closely matched at roughly one-third each, with separation likely hinging on late campaign shifts in turnout among religious-right voters, security-focused centrists, or ultra-Orthodox draft debates. Trader consensus prices these bands highest due to the limited historical precedent for sharp last-minute swings in such fragmented multi-party contests.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$99,080Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected in a narrow 21–27 seat range, reflecting volatility between the party and emerging opposition alliances such as the Bennett-Lapid union and Eisenkot's Yashar. Declines from Likud's current 32 seats stem from sustained security challenges after October 2023, judicial reform fallout, and coalition strains, while opposition blocs hover near or above 60 seats in several surveys. This keeps the 20–24 and 25–29 outcomes closely matched at roughly one-third each, with separation likely hinging on late campaign shifts in turnout among religious-right voters, security-focused centrists, or ultra-Orthodox draft debates. Trader consensus prices these bands highest due to the limited historical precedent for sharp last-minute swings in such fragmented multi-party contests.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$99,080Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected in a narrow 21–27 seat range, reflecting volatility between the party and emerging opposition alliances such as the Bennett-Lapid union and Eisenkot's Yashar. Declines from Likud's current 32 seats stem from sustained security challenges after October 2023, judicial reform fallout, and coalition strains, while opposition blocs hover near or above 60 seats in several surveys. This keeps the 20–24 and 25–29 outcomes closely matched at roughly one-third each, with separation likely hinging on late campaign shifts in turnout among religious-right voters, security-focused centrists, or ultra-Orthodox draft debates. Trader consensus prices these bands highest due to the limited historical precedent for sharp last-minute swings in such fragmented multi-party contests.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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