The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 94%
15-19 3.4%
5-9 2.3%
10-14 1.4%
$11,970 Wol.
$11,970 Wol.
May 19, 2026
<5
94%
5-9
2%
10-14
1%
15-19
3%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 94%
15-19 3.4%
5-9 2.3%
10-14 1.4%
$11,970 Wol.
$11,970 Wol.
May 19, 2026
<5
$2,331 Wol.
94%
5-9
$2,064 Wol.
2%
10-14
$981 Wol.
1%
15-19
$1,493 Wol.
3%
20-24
$946 Wol.
1%
25-29
$401 Wol.
<1%
30-34
$458 Wol.
1%
35-39
$443 Wol.
<1%
40-44
$596 Wol.
<1%
45-49
$484 Wol.
1%
50-54
$498 Wol.
<1%
55-59
$609 Wol.
<1%
60+
$666 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,970Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$11,970Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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